Recent U.S. trade data supports the 70-80 billion dollar range as the dominant outcome, with May’s goods-and-services deficit printing at 77.6 billion after a sharp 42 percent widening from April’s 54.6 billion. The increase reflected stronger imports of capital goods and consumer products alongside softer exports, particularly nonmonetary gold and industrial supplies. Preliminary June goods figures showed modest narrowing to a 101.5 billion deficit from May’s 105.9 billion peak, consistent with moderating import growth after earlier restocking. With the full June release scheduled for August 4, traders are anchoring probabilities near the latest realized level while awaiting confirmation of any reversal in net-export momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado70-80B 79%
60-70B 16%
50-60B 4%
80-90B 3.6%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
<50B
<1%
50-60B
4%
60-70B
16%
70-80B
79%
80-90B
4%
90-100B
4%
100B+
1%
70-80B 79%
60-70B 16%
50-60B 4%
80-90B 3.6%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
<50B
$397 Vol.
<1%
50-60B
$293 Vol.
4%
60-70B
$454 Vol.
16%
70-80B
$6,387 Vol.
79%
80-90B
$246 Vol.
4%
90-100B
$246 Vol.
4%
100B+
$357 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. trade data supports the 70-80 billion dollar range as the dominant outcome, with May’s goods-and-services deficit printing at 77.6 billion after a sharp 42 percent widening from April’s 54.6 billion. The increase reflected stronger imports of capital goods and consumer products alongside softer exports, particularly nonmonetary gold and industrial supplies. Preliminary June goods figures showed modest narrowing to a 101.5 billion deficit from May’s 105.9 billion peak, consistent with moderating import growth after earlier restocking. With the full June release scheduled for August 4, traders are anchoring probabilities near the latest realized level while awaiting confirmation of any reversal in net-export momentum.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$8,379Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. trade data supports the 70-80 billion dollar range as the dominant outcome, with May’s goods-and-services deficit printing at 77.6 billion after a sharp 42 percent widening from April’s 54.6 billion. The increase reflected stronger imports of capital goods and consumer products alongside softer exports, particularly nonmonetary gold and industrial supplies. Preliminary June goods figures showed modest narrowing to a 101.5 billion deficit from May’s 105.9 billion peak, consistent with moderating import growth after earlier restocking. With the full June release scheduled for August 4, traders are anchoring probabilities near the latest realized level while awaiting confirmation of any reversal in net-export momentum.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$8,379Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. trade data supports the 70-80 billion dollar range as the dominant outcome, with May’s goods-and-services deficit printing at 77.6 billion after a sharp 42 percent widening from April’s 54.6 billion. The increase reflected stronger imports of capital goods and consumer products alongside softer exports, particularly nonmonetary gold and industrial supplies. Preliminary June goods figures showed modest narrowing to a 101.5 billion deficit from May’s 105.9 billion peak, consistent with moderating import growth after earlier restocking. With the full June release scheduled for August 4, traders are anchoring probabilities near the latest realized level while awaiting confirmation of any reversal in net-export momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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