The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested because Republican nominee Ken Paxton defeated four-term incumbent John Cornyn in the May 2026 GOP primary runoff after securing a late endorsement from President Trump, positioning Paxton as the nominee but exposing him to Democratic attacks over prior impeachment by fellow Republicans and longstanding legal matters. Democratic nominee James Talarico, who won his primary outright, has leveraged a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $68 million to emphasize affordability, child care expansion, and Paxton's record, while appealing to independents and Hispanic voters. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with polling aggregates showing near-even support that reflects Texas's long Republican dominance in Senate races offset by Paxton's vulnerabilities and Talarico's coalition-building efforts. Late-cycle developments in voter turnout, outside spending, and messaging on crime or cultural issues could shift the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Texas
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Texas
$997,111 Vol.
$997,111 Vol.
2 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
51%
Ken Paxton (R)
50%
$997,111 Vol.
$997,111 Vol.
2 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
$457,643 Vol.
51%
Ken Paxton (R)
$539,468 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested because Republican nominee Ken Paxton defeated four-term incumbent John Cornyn in the May 2026 GOP primary runoff after securing a late endorsement from President Trump, positioning Paxton as the nominee but exposing him to Democratic attacks over prior impeachment by fellow Republicans and longstanding legal matters. Democratic nominee James Talarico, who won his primary outright, has leveraged a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $68 million to emphasize affordability, child care expansion, and Paxton's record, while appealing to independents and Hispanic voters. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with polling aggregates showing near-even support that reflects Texas's long Republican dominance in Senate races offset by Paxton's vulnerabilities and Talarico's coalition-building efforts. Late-cycle developments in voter turnout, outside spending, and messaging on crime or cultural issues could shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volume
$997,111Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested because Republican nominee Ken Paxton defeated four-term incumbent John Cornyn in the May 2026 GOP primary runoff after securing a late endorsement from President Trump, positioning Paxton as the nominee but exposing him to Democratic attacks over prior impeachment by fellow Republicans and longstanding legal matters. Democratic nominee James Talarico, who won his primary outright, has leveraged a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $68 million to emphasize affordability, child care expansion, and Paxton's record, while appealing to independents and Hispanic voters. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with polling aggregates showing near-even support that reflects Texas's long Republican dominance in Senate races offset by Paxton's vulnerabilities and Talarico's coalition-building efforts. Late-cycle developments in voter turnout, outside spending, and messaging on crime or cultural issues could shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$997,111Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested because Republican nominee Ken Paxton defeated four-term incumbent John Cornyn in the May 2026 GOP primary runoff after securing a late endorsement from President Trump, positioning Paxton as the nominee but exposing him to Democratic attacks over prior impeachment by fellow Republicans and longstanding legal matters. Democratic nominee James Talarico, who won his primary outright, has leveraged a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $68 million to emphasize affordability, child care expansion, and Paxton's record, while appealing to independents and Hispanic voters. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with polling aggregates showing near-even support that reflects Texas's long Republican dominance in Senate races offset by Paxton's vulnerabilities and Talarico's coalition-building efforts. Late-cycle developments in voter turnout, outside spending, and messaging on crime or cultural issues could shift the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions