Carlos Bolsonaro holds a modest edge in trader pricing for first place in Santa Catarina’s October 4 Senate contest, reflecting his PL nomination alongside Carol de Toni, his relocation to the state in 2025, and July polling that placed him narrowly ahead on first-preference votes. Multiple surveys show de Toni and Esperidião Amin (PP) within striking distance, with the two-seat, two-vote system and sizable undecided share keeping the outcome fluid. Internal PL dynamics, de Toni’s stronger local base, and Carlos’s elevated rejection ratings have capped his lead despite family name recognition and party machinery. Recent convention confirmation and the absence of major late-breaking developments have left the field competitive, with further polling, candidate debates, or shifts in right-wing coalition alignment the main factors that could widen or erase the gap before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado de Santa Catarina: 1º Lugar
Eleição para o Senado de Santa Catarina: 1º Lugar
Carlos Bolsonaro 56%
Carol de Toni 37%
Décio Lima 8.0%
Joaninha de Oliveira 2.1%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Carlos Bolsonaro
56%
Carol de Toni
37%
Décio Lima
12%
Joaninha de Oliveira
2%
Afrânio Boppré
2%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
2%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
2%
Carol
2%
Marlene Soccas
1%
Esperidião Amin
1%
Marcos Dorval
1%
Jeferson da Rocha
<1%
Lunelli
<1%
Carlos Bolsonaro 56%
Carol de Toni 37%
Décio Lima 8.0%
Joaninha de Oliveira 2.1%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Carlos Bolsonaro
$699 Vol.
56%
Carol de Toni
$1,243 Vol.
37%
Décio Lima
$142 Vol.
12%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$172 Vol.
2%
Afrânio Boppré
$142 Vol.
2%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$126 Vol.
2%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$447 Vol.
2%
Carol
$126 Vol.
2%
Marlene Soccas
$215 Vol.
1%
Esperidião Amin
$126 Vol.
1%
Marcos Dorval
$94 Vol.
1%
Jeferson da Rocha
$126 Vol.
<1%
Lunelli
$201 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Carlos Bolsonaro holds a modest edge in trader pricing for first place in Santa Catarina’s October 4 Senate contest, reflecting his PL nomination alongside Carol de Toni, his relocation to the state in 2025, and July polling that placed him narrowly ahead on first-preference votes. Multiple surveys show de Toni and Esperidião Amin (PP) within striking distance, with the two-seat, two-vote system and sizable undecided share keeping the outcome fluid. Internal PL dynamics, de Toni’s stronger local base, and Carlos’s elevated rejection ratings have capped his lead despite family name recognition and party machinery. Recent convention confirmation and the absence of major late-breaking developments have left the field competitive, with further polling, candidate debates, or shifts in right-wing coalition alignment the main factors that could widen or erase the gap before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$3,862Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Carlos Bolsonaro holds a modest edge in trader pricing for first place in Santa Catarina’s October 4 Senate contest, reflecting his PL nomination alongside Carol de Toni, his relocation to the state in 2025, and July polling that placed him narrowly ahead on first-preference votes. Multiple surveys show de Toni and Esperidião Amin (PP) within striking distance, with the two-seat, two-vote system and sizable undecided share keeping the outcome fluid. Internal PL dynamics, de Toni’s stronger local base, and Carlos’s elevated rejection ratings have capped his lead despite family name recognition and party machinery. Recent convention confirmation and the absence of major late-breaking developments have left the field competitive, with further polling, candidate debates, or shifts in right-wing coalition alignment the main factors that could widen or erase the gap before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,862Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Carlos Bolsonaro holds a modest edge in trader pricing for first place in Santa Catarina’s October 4 Senate contest, reflecting his PL nomination alongside Carol de Toni, his relocation to the state in 2025, and July polling that placed him narrowly ahead on first-preference votes. Multiple surveys show de Toni and Esperidião Amin (PP) within striking distance, with the two-seat, two-vote system and sizable undecided share keeping the outcome fluid. Internal PL dynamics, de Toni’s stronger local base, and Carlos’s elevated rejection ratings have capped his lead despite family name recognition and party machinery. Recent convention confirmation and the absence of major late-breaking developments have left the field competitive, with further polling, candidate debates, or shifts in right-wing coalition alignment the main factors that could widen or erase the gap before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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