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icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Catarina
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Catarina

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Catarina
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Catarina

Jorginho Mello 97.0%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.6%

João Rodrigues 1.1%

Décio Lima <1%

Polymarket

$120,244 Vol.

Jorginho Mello 97.0%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.6%

João Rodrigues 1.1%

Décio Lima <1%

Polymarket

$120,244 Vol.

icon for Jorginho Mello

Jorginho Mello

$29,325 Vol.

97%

icon for Marcelo Brigadeiro

Marcelo Brigadeiro

$15,881 Vol.

2%

icon for João Rodrigues

João Rodrigues

$2,907 Vol.

1%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$64,042 Vol.

<1%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$2,282 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Vieira

Marcos Vieira

$1,955 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adriano Silva

Adriano Silva

$1,745 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gelson Merisio

Gelson Merisio

$2,107 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial race due to his strong incumbency position and consistent polling dominance ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent surveys, including those from Quaest and IPC in July and August 2026, show him at or above 50% in the first round, well ahead of João Rodrigues (PSD) and other registered candidates such as Gelson Merísio, Marcelo Brigadeiro, and smaller-party contenders. His official nomination by the PL in early August, paired with vice-governor candidate Adriano Silva, reinforced party unity and leveraged the state's conservative electorate. This positioning aligns with historical patterns of high re-election rates for incumbents with broad first-round support. A realistic shift would require major late developments, such as unexpected turnout swings or coalition realignments, though current evidence points to limited scope for such changes before voting.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$120,244
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Santa Catarina gubernatorial race due to his strong incumbency position and consistent polling dominance ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent surveys, including those from Quaest and IPC in July and August 2026, show him at or above 50% in the first round, well ahead of João Rodrigues (PSD) and other registered candidates such as Gelson Merísio, Marcelo Brigadeiro, and smaller-party contenders. His official nomination by the PL in early August, paired with vice-governor candidate Adriano Silva, reinforced party unity and leveraged the state's conservative electorate. This positioning aligns with historical patterns of high re-election rates for incumbents with broad first-round support. A realistic shift would require major late developments, such as unexpected turnout swings or coalition realignments, though current evidence points to limited scope for such changes before voting.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$120,244
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Catarina" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jorginho Mello" at 97%, followed by "Marcelo Brigadeiro" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Catarina" has generated $120.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Catarina," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Catarina" is "Jorginho Mello" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marcelo Brigadeiro" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Catarina" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.