Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, leads the race according to recent polling that shows her ahead of main challenger João Campos of the PSB. Late August surveys placed Lyra at 47% to Campos’s 40% in the first round, with her margin exceeding the margin of error in some estimates and positioning her for a potential outright win on valid votes. Earlier summer polls had shown a tighter contest or technical tie. Campaign activity continues into September with both candidates holding events across the state ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes register negligible support in surveys, consistent with their low market pricing. Traders appear to weigh Lyra’s incumbency and recent polling momentum as the dominant factors in current probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRaquel Lyra 70%
João Campos 30%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$47,751 Vol.
$47,751 Vol.
4 out 2026
Raquel Lyra
70%
João Campos
30%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 70%
João Campos 30%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$47,751 Vol.
$47,751 Vol.
4 out 2026
Raquel Lyra
$22,145 Vol.
70%
João Campos
$20,396 Vol.
30%
Ivan Moraes
$5,211 Vol.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, leads the race according to recent polling that shows her ahead of main challenger João Campos of the PSB. Late August surveys placed Lyra at 47% to Campos’s 40% in the first round, with her margin exceeding the margin of error in some estimates and positioning her for a potential outright win on valid votes. Earlier summer polls had shown a tighter contest or technical tie. Campaign activity continues into September with both candidates holding events across the state ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes register negligible support in surveys, consistent with their low market pricing. Traders appear to weigh Lyra’s incumbency and recent polling momentum as the dominant factors in current probabilities.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$47,751Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, leads the race according to recent polling that shows her ahead of main challenger João Campos of the PSB. Late August surveys placed Lyra at 47% to Campos’s 40% in the first round, with her margin exceeding the margin of error in some estimates and positioning her for a potential outright win on valid votes. Earlier summer polls had shown a tighter contest or technical tie. Campaign activity continues into September with both candidates holding events across the state ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes register negligible support in surveys, consistent with their low market pricing. Traders appear to weigh Lyra’s incumbency and recent polling momentum as the dominant factors in current probabilities.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$47,751Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking re-election, leads the race according to recent polling that shows her ahead of main challenger João Campos of the PSB. Late August surveys placed Lyra at 47% to Campos’s 40% in the first round, with her margin exceeding the margin of error in some estimates and positioning her for a potential outright win on valid votes. Earlier summer polls had shown a tighter contest or technical tie. Campaign activity continues into September with both candidates holding events across the state ahead of the October 4 first round. Minor candidates including Ivan Moraes register negligible support in surveys, consistent with their low market pricing. Traders appear to weigh Lyra’s incumbency and recent polling momentum as the dominant factors in current probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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