Current forecasts from multiple models for Warsaw on September 14 indicate overnight lows near 13–15°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with mid-September climatology but reflects a mild air mass with minimal cold advection. Trader balance between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes stems from uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, as clearer conditions could enhance cooling while persistent overcast or warmer advection raises the minimum. Key variables include dew point depression and wind shifts ahead of resolution by official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 14 de setembro?
9°C ou menos 80%
19°C ou mais 80%
12°C 40%
16°C 39%
9°C ou menos
80%
10°C
17%
11°C
18%
12°C
40%
13°C
26%
14°C
23%
15°C
10%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
13%
19°C ou mais
80%
9°C ou menos 80%
19°C ou mais 80%
12°C 40%
16°C 39%
9°C ou menos
80%
10°C
17%
11°C
18%
12°C
40%
13°C
26%
14°C
23%
15°C
10%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
13%
19°C ou mais
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models for Warsaw on September 14 indicate overnight lows near 13–15°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with mid-September climatology but reflects a mild air mass with minimal cold advection. Trader balance between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes stems from uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, as clearer conditions could enhance cooling while persistent overcast or warmer advection raises the minimum. Key variables include dew point depression and wind shifts ahead of resolution by official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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