Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Tokyo on August 24, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and dew points around 23–25°C limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus splits closely between these two outcomes because small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could tip the overnight low either way, consistent with recent days’ observed range of 23–25°C amid unsettled late-summer conditions. Higher or lower readings remain low-probability given the absence of strong frontal systems or extreme humidity spikes in current guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 24 de agosto?
25°C 50%
26°C 41%
28°C 11%
27°C 6%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
6%
25°C
50%
26°C
41%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 41%
28°C 11%
27°C 6%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
6%
25°C
50%
26°C
41%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Tokyo on August 24, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and dew points around 23–25°C limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus splits closely between these two outcomes because small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could tip the overnight low either way, consistent with recent days’ observed range of 23–25°C amid unsettled late-summer conditions. Higher or lower readings remain low-probability given the absence of strong frontal systems or extreme humidity spikes in current guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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