Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Warsaw on August 25, supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s °C. Current consensus from multiple sources points to a maximum near 21–23 °C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions after a period of modest cooling. Forecast spread across ensembles arises primarily from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. With resolution hinging on the official highest instantaneous reading, traders price the 20–24 °C range evenly to capture this narrow uncertainty band while assigning minimal probability to extremes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise outcome.