Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Beijing's peak temperature on August 23 will likely reach 31–33°C at the official station, with scattered thunderstorms, persistent cloud cover, and humidity levels of 70–85% suppressing daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline while noting limited potential for brief spikes above 33°C if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger warm advection. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 32–33°C outcomes because midday observations have hovered in the low 30s, with resolution depending on final hourly readings before sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 23 de agosto?
33°C 56%
32°C 37%
34°C 5%
35°C <1%
$34,861 Vol.
$34,861 Vol.
23 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
37%
33°C
56%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 37%
34°C 5%
35°C <1%
$34,861 Vol.
$34,861 Vol.
23 ago 2026
27°C or below
$2,010 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,642 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,989 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,520 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,519 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,176 Vol.
37%
33°C
$2,311 Vol.
56%
34°C
$3,115 Vol.
5%
35°C
$3,440 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,877 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,082 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Beijing's peak temperature on August 23 will likely reach 31–33°C at the official station, with scattered thunderstorms, persistent cloud cover, and humidity levels of 70–85% suppressing daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline while noting limited potential for brief spikes above 33°C if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger warm advection. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 32–33°C outcomes because midday observations have hovered in the low 30s, with resolution depending on final hourly readings before sunset.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$34,861Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Beijing's peak temperature on August 23 will likely reach 31–33°C at the official station, with scattered thunderstorms, persistent cloud cover, and humidity levels of 70–85% suppressing daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline while noting limited potential for brief spikes above 33°C if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger warm advection. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 32–33°C outcomes because midday observations have hovered in the low 30s, with resolution depending on final hourly readings before sunset.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,861Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Beijing's peak temperature on August 23 will likely reach 31–33°C at the official station, with scattered thunderstorms, persistent cloud cover, and humidity levels of 70–85% suppressing daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline while noting limited potential for brief spikes above 33°C if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger warm advection. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 32–33°C outcomes because midday observations have hovered in the low 30s, with resolution depending on final hourly readings before sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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