Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 24 point to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, supporting maximum temperatures near 32–34°C and explaining why trader sentiment clusters tightly between the 32°C (40.5%) and 33°C (36.5%) outcomes. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the dominant variables, as increased afternoon convection can suppress peak readings by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines around 31°C provide context, while short-range model consensus and urban heat-island effects create modest upside risk toward 34°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily high reported by JMA, with fresh model runs expected overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 24 de agosto?
32°C 41%
33°C 37%
31°C 12%
34°C 8%
NOVO
$10,746 Vol.
NOVO
$10,746 Vol.
24 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
41%
33°C
37%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 41%
33°C 37%
31°C 12%
34°C 8%
NOVO
$10,746 Vol.
NOVO
$10,746 Vol.
24 ago 2026
25°C or below
$1,424 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$915 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,085 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$285 Vol.
1%
29°C
$564 Vol.
2%
30°C
$558 Vol.
4%
31°C
$2,248 Vol.
12%
32°C
$757 Vol.
41%
33°C
$1,328 Vol.
37%
34°C
$1,292 Vol.
8%
35°C or higher
$291 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 24 point to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, supporting maximum temperatures near 32–34°C and explaining why trader sentiment clusters tightly between the 32°C (40.5%) and 33°C (36.5%) outcomes. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the dominant variables, as increased afternoon convection can suppress peak readings by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines around 31°C provide context, while short-range model consensus and urban heat-island effects create modest upside risk toward 34°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily high reported by JMA, with fresh model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,746Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 24 point to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, supporting maximum temperatures near 32–34°C and explaining why trader sentiment clusters tightly between the 32°C (40.5%) and 33°C (36.5%) outcomes. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the dominant variables, as increased afternoon convection can suppress peak readings by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines around 31°C provide context, while short-range model consensus and urban heat-island effects create modest upside risk toward 34°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily high reported by JMA, with fresh model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,746Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 24 point to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, supporting maximum temperatures near 32–34°C and explaining why trader sentiment clusters tightly between the 32°C (40.5%) and 33°C (36.5%) outcomes. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the dominant variables, as increased afternoon convection can suppress peak readings by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines around 31°C provide context, while short-range model consensus and urban heat-island effects create modest upside risk toward 34°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily high reported by JMA, with fresh model runs expected overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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