Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 58°F shortly after dawn on September 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market's dominant 58-59°F outcome. This value reflects the typical influence of the marine layer and onshore flow that moderates overnight cooling in the region during early September, when climatological normals place the daily low near 56°F. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed stable high pressure and light winds limiting radiational cooling, preventing deeper drops into the low 50s or below that would require stronger offshore flow or clearer skies. Traders appear to have weighted the official KSFO reading heavily for resolution, with secondary probabilities on cooler bins reflecting residual uncertainty around microclimate variations across the city until final data confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Francisco no dia 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em São Francisco no dia 4 de setembro?
58-59°F 95%
48-49°F 89%
47°F ou menos 42%
54-55°F 11%
$1,279 Vol.
$1,279 Vol.
4 set 2026
47°F ou menos
42%
48-49°F
89%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
11%
13-14°C
19%
58-59°F
73%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F ou mais
<1%
58-59°F 95%
48-49°F 89%
47°F ou menos 42%
54-55°F 11%
$1,279 Vol.
$1,279 Vol.
4 set 2026
47°F ou menos
$122 Vol.
42%
48-49°F
$12 Vol.
89%
50-51°F
$27 Vol.
10%
52-53°F
$44 Vol.
10%
54-55°F
$12 Vol.
11%
13-14°C
$136 Vol.
19%
58-59°F
$252 Vol.
73%
60-61°F
$408 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$110 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$59 Vol.
<1%
66°F ou mais
$97 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 58°F shortly after dawn on September 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market's dominant 58-59°F outcome. This value reflects the typical influence of the marine layer and onshore flow that moderates overnight cooling in the region during early September, when climatological normals place the daily low near 56°F. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed stable high pressure and light winds limiting radiational cooling, preventing deeper drops into the low 50s or below that would require stronger offshore flow or clearer skies. Traders appear to have weighted the official KSFO reading heavily for resolution, with secondary probabilities on cooler bins reflecting residual uncertainty around microclimate variations across the city until final data confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,279Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 58°F shortly after dawn on September 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market's dominant 58-59°F outcome. This value reflects the typical influence of the marine layer and onshore flow that moderates overnight cooling in the region during early September, when climatological normals place the daily low near 56°F. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed stable high pressure and light winds limiting radiational cooling, preventing deeper drops into the low 50s or below that would require stronger offshore flow or clearer skies. Traders appear to have weighted the official KSFO reading heavily for resolution, with secondary probabilities on cooler bins reflecting residual uncertainty around microclimate variations across the city until final data confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,279Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 58°F shortly after dawn on September 4, 2026, aligning closely with the market's dominant 58-59°F outcome. This value reflects the typical influence of the marine layer and onshore flow that moderates overnight cooling in the region during early September, when climatological normals place the daily low near 56°F. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed stable high pressure and light winds limiting radiational cooling, preventing deeper drops into the low 50s or below that would require stronger offshore flow or clearer skies. Traders appear to have weighted the official KSFO reading heavily for resolution, with secondary probabilities on cooler bins reflecting residual uncertainty around microclimate variations across the city until final data confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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