Forecast models from NOAA and GFS consensus indicate Miami’s overnight minimum on September 14 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by persistent high humidity near 85-90 percent, light easterly winds under 5 mph, and variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with climatological September norms for the region, where dew points often remain in the mid-70s and prevent sharper drops. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 76-79°F outcomes because small shifts in evening cloud thickness or wind direction could nudge the low by 1-2 degrees, while the absence of any tropical system or cold front keeps probabilities away from extremes below 74°F or above 80°F. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Miami em 14 de setembro?
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 37%
74-75°F 19%
70-71°F 12%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
69°F ou menos
4%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88°F ou mais
1%
78-79°F 41%
76-77°F 37%
74-75°F 19%
70-71°F 12%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
69°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
12%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$59 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$136 Vol.
37%
78-79°F
$136 Vol.
41%
80-81°F
$20 Vol.
12%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$50 Vol.
1%
88°F ou mais
$450 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and GFS consensus indicate Miami’s overnight minimum on September 14 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by persistent high humidity near 85-90 percent, light easterly winds under 5 mph, and variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with climatological September norms for the region, where dew points often remain in the mid-70s and prevent sharper drops. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 76-79°F outcomes because small shifts in evening cloud thickness or wind direction could nudge the low by 1-2 degrees, while the absence of any tropical system or cold front keeps probabilities away from extremes below 74°F or above 80°F. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$851Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and GFS consensus indicate Miami’s overnight minimum on September 14 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by persistent high humidity near 85-90 percent, light easterly winds under 5 mph, and variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with climatological September norms for the region, where dew points often remain in the mid-70s and prevent sharper drops. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 76-79°F outcomes because small shifts in evening cloud thickness or wind direction could nudge the low by 1-2 degrees, while the absence of any tropical system or cold front keeps probabilities away from extremes below 74°F or above 80°F. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$851Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and GFS consensus indicate Miami’s overnight minimum on September 14 will likely settle in the upper 70s, driven by persistent high humidity near 85-90 percent, light easterly winds under 5 mph, and variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with climatological September norms for the region, where dew points often remain in the mid-70s and prevent sharper drops. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 76-79°F outcomes because small shifts in evening cloud thickness or wind direction could nudge the low by 1-2 degrees, while the absence of any tropical system or cold front keeps probabilities away from extremes below 74°F or above 80°F. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions