The active southwest monsoon, or habagat, is the dominant driver keeping Manila's overnight low anchored near 28°C on August 23, 2026, with PAGASA and AccuWeather guidance showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling. This maintains minimum temperatures in the 24–27°C range, consistent with the month's climatological average low of 25°C and recent station readings near 26–27°C. Traders have priced the 72.5% implied probability on 28°C as the upper bound of expected outcomes under these stable monsoon conditions, while lower thresholds like 25°C or below carry reduced odds absent any model shift toward clearer skies or stronger winds that could enhance cooling overnight. Updated forecasts this morning continue to support this range ahead of final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Manila em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Manila em 23 de agosto?
28°C 91%
25°C 19%
26°C 19%
27°C 19%
$1,131 Vol.
$1,131 Vol.
23 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
12%
24°C
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
73%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 91%
25°C 19%
26°C 19%
27°C 19%
$1,131 Vol.
$1,131 Vol.
23 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
$120 Vol.
1%
22°C
$131 Vol.
1%
23°C
$74 Vol.
12%
24°C
$87 Vol.
17%
25°C
$12 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$97 Vol.
73%
29°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou mais
$194 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon, or habagat, is the dominant driver keeping Manila's overnight low anchored near 28°C on August 23, 2026, with PAGASA and AccuWeather guidance showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling. This maintains minimum temperatures in the 24–27°C range, consistent with the month's climatological average low of 25°C and recent station readings near 26–27°C. Traders have priced the 72.5% implied probability on 28°C as the upper bound of expected outcomes under these stable monsoon conditions, while lower thresholds like 25°C or below carry reduced odds absent any model shift toward clearer skies or stronger winds that could enhance cooling overnight. Updated forecasts this morning continue to support this range ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$1,131Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon, or habagat, is the dominant driver keeping Manila's overnight low anchored near 28°C on August 23, 2026, with PAGASA and AccuWeather guidance showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling. This maintains minimum temperatures in the 24–27°C range, consistent with the month's climatological average low of 25°C and recent station readings near 26–27°C. Traders have priced the 72.5% implied probability on 28°C as the upper bound of expected outcomes under these stable monsoon conditions, while lower thresholds like 25°C or below carry reduced odds absent any model shift toward clearer skies or stronger winds that could enhance cooling overnight. Updated forecasts this morning continue to support this range ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,131Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The active southwest monsoon, or habagat, is the dominant driver keeping Manila's overnight low anchored near 28°C on August 23, 2026, with PAGASA and AccuWeather guidance showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling. This maintains minimum temperatures in the 24–27°C range, consistent with the month's climatological average low of 25°C and recent station readings near 26–27°C. Traders have priced the 72.5% implied probability on 28°C as the upper bound of expected outcomes under these stable monsoon conditions, while lower thresholds like 25°C or below carry reduced odds absent any model shift toward clearer skies or stronger winds that could enhance cooling overnight. Updated forecasts this morning continue to support this range ahead of final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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