Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's maximum temperature on August 23 will reach 31–32°C amid southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions, with persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with August climatology of roughly 31°C average highs and recent observations showing a recorded peak of 31.5°C. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 32°C reflects convergence across agency guidance and real-time data, though modest uncertainty remains if localized clearing allows brief additional insolation or if station-specific measurements deviate slightly from the central forecast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 23 de agosto?
32°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
25°C ou menos <1%
26°C <1%
$24,679 Vol.
$24,679 Vol.
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
25°C ou menos <1%
26°C <1%
$24,679 Vol.
$24,679 Vol.
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's maximum temperature on August 23 will reach 31–32°C amid southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions, with persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with August climatology of roughly 31°C average highs and recent observations showing a recorded peak of 31.5°C. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 32°C reflects convergence across agency guidance and real-time data, though modest uncertainty remains if localized clearing allows brief additional insolation or if station-specific measurements deviate slightly from the central forecast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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