PAGASA’s latest outlooks for Metro Manila on August 24 place daytime highs near 30–32 °C under ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence, with 40–90 % rain chances and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures clustered around the long-term August mean of roughly 30 °C. Model consensus shows only modest variability, so brief periods of reduced convection could allow brief spikes toward 32–33 °C while sustained showers favor 30 °C or below. These tightly bunched market probabilities therefore reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and coverage of monsoon-driven cloudiness rather than any large-scale shift in atmospheric conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 24 de agosto?
31°C 30%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
30%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C ou mais
4%
31°C 30%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
30%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C ou mais
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA’s latest outlooks for Metro Manila on August 24 place daytime highs near 30–32 °C under ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence, with 40–90 % rain chances and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures clustered around the long-term August mean of roughly 30 °C. Model consensus shows only modest variability, so brief periods of reduced convection could allow brief spikes toward 32–33 °C while sustained showers favor 30 °C or below. These tightly bunched market probabilities therefore reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and coverage of monsoon-driven cloudiness rather than any large-scale shift in atmospheric conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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