**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 14–16°C as the expected overnight minimum in Jinan on September 13, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.** Official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and local models indicate daytime highs near 31–33°C with overnight lows projected between 18–21°C, though variations in boundary-layer moisture, dew-point depression, and exact cloud cover can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Clearer conditions overnight enhance longwave radiation loss, while any increase in humidity or residual cloudiness limits cooling; model runs show modest disagreements on these thresholds. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded, fresh observational data from late evening will likely refine the narrow probability spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 13 de setembro?
14°C 100%
15°C 99%
22°C ou mais 99%
13°C 90%
12°C ou menos
1%
13°C
90%
14°C
100%
15°C
99%
16°C
-
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
90%
22°C ou mais
99%
14°C 100%
15°C 99%
22°C ou mais 99%
13°C 90%
12°C ou menos
1%
13°C
90%
14°C
100%
15°C
99%
16°C
-
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
90%
22°C ou mais
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 14–16°C as the expected overnight minimum in Jinan on September 13, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.** Official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and local models indicate daytime highs near 31–33°C with overnight lows projected between 18–21°C, though variations in boundary-layer moisture, dew-point depression, and exact cloud cover can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Clearer conditions overnight enhance longwave radiation loss, while any increase in humidity or residual cloudiness limits cooling; model runs show modest disagreements on these thresholds. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded, fresh observational data from late evening will likely refine the narrow probability spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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