Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a transitional pattern over Chicago, with northwest winds shifting to southerly flow ahead of a warm front. This setup produces overnight lows for September 14 most likely in the mid-50s to mid-60s, depending on cloud cover and sustained wind speeds that limit radiative cooling. Breezy conditions and increasing humidity reduce the chance of sharp drops below 50 °F, while partial clearing early in the period supports the market's elevated probability on 68 °F or higher. Historical mid-September normals near 59 °F provide context, yet the tight clustering of probabilities across bins reflects ongoing divergence among short-range guidance on exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chicago em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chicago em 14 de setembro?
68°F ou mais 75%
49°F ou menos 68%
60-61°F 39%
52-53°F 31%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
49°F ou menos
68%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
21%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
13%
68°F ou mais
75%
68°F ou mais 75%
49°F ou menos 68%
60-61°F 39%
52-53°F 31%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
49°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
68%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
22%
52-53°F
$21 Vol.
31%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
22%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
21%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
21%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
17%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
13%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
13%
68°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a transitional pattern over Chicago, with northwest winds shifting to southerly flow ahead of a warm front. This setup produces overnight lows for September 14 most likely in the mid-50s to mid-60s, depending on cloud cover and sustained wind speeds that limit radiative cooling. Breezy conditions and increasing humidity reduce the chance of sharp drops below 50 °F, while partial clearing early in the period supports the market's elevated probability on 68 °F or higher. Historical mid-September normals near 59 °F provide context, yet the tight clustering of probabilities across bins reflects ongoing divergence among short-range guidance on exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$21Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a transitional pattern over Chicago, with northwest winds shifting to southerly flow ahead of a warm front. This setup produces overnight lows for September 14 most likely in the mid-50s to mid-60s, depending on cloud cover and sustained wind speeds that limit radiative cooling. Breezy conditions and increasing humidity reduce the chance of sharp drops below 50 °F, while partial clearing early in the period supports the market's elevated probability on 68 °F or higher. Historical mid-September normals near 59 °F provide context, yet the tight clustering of probabilities across bins reflects ongoing divergence among short-range guidance on exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a transitional pattern over Chicago, with northwest winds shifting to southerly flow ahead of a warm front. This setup produces overnight lows for September 14 most likely in the mid-50s to mid-60s, depending on cloud cover and sustained wind speeds that limit radiative cooling. Breezy conditions and increasing humidity reduce the chance of sharp drops below 50 °F, while partial clearing early in the period supports the market's elevated probability on 68 °F or higher. Historical mid-September normals near 59 °F provide context, yet the tight clustering of probabilities across bins reflects ongoing divergence among short-range guidance on exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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