Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 24, driven by expected widespread showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit daytime solar heating. Persistent northeast flow, high humidity near 80%, and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70-90% align with a low-pressure trough influencing the region, suppressing peaks below the typical late-August average of 32-34°C. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 30-32°C, with the exact high hinging on storm timing and intensity; any delay in rain or reduced coverage could push readings to 32°C or higher. This scientific uncertainty, combined with official agency guidance on unstable conditions, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C+.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 24 de agosto?
32°C or higher 42%
31°C 33%
30°C 12%
29°C 11%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
12%
31°C
33%
32°C or higher
42%
32°C or higher 42%
31°C 33%
30°C 12%
29°C 11%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
12%
31°C
33%
32°C or higher
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 24, driven by expected widespread showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit daytime solar heating. Persistent northeast flow, high humidity near 80%, and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70-90% align with a low-pressure trough influencing the region, suppressing peaks below the typical late-August average of 32-34°C. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 30-32°C, with the exact high hinging on storm timing and intensity; any delay in rain or reduced coverage could push readings to 32°C or higher. This scientific uncertainty, combined with official agency guidance on unstable conditions, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C+.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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