Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Zhengzhou overnight lows on August 24 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–85%, and expected showers that limit radiational cooling. These conditions, tied to a low-pressure trough and monsoon influences, produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–25°C while assigning low probability to sub-20°C readings. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly warmer due to elevated dew points and minimal wind. Traders will watch the next China Meteorological Administration updates and refined ECMWF/GFS outputs for any shifts in precipitation timing or coverage before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Zhengzhou em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Zhengzhou em 24 de agosto?
21°C 93%
22°C 92%
15°C ou menos 53%
16°C 53%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
15°C ou menos
53%
16°C
53%
17°C
28%
18°C
53%
19°C
<1%
20°C
53%
21°C
93%
22°C
92%
23°C
46%
24°C
47%
25°C ou mais
53%
21°C 93%
22°C 92%
15°C ou menos 53%
16°C 53%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
15°C ou menos
$25 Vol.
53%
16°C
$25 Vol.
53%
17°C
$155 Vol.
28%
18°C
$25 Vol.
53%
19°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$25 Vol.
53%
21°C
$25 Vol.
93%
22°C
$25 Vol.
92%
23°C
$30 Vol.
46%
24°C
$6 Vol.
47%
25°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Zhengzhou overnight lows on August 24 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–85%, and expected showers that limit radiational cooling. These conditions, tied to a low-pressure trough and monsoon influences, produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–25°C while assigning low probability to sub-20°C readings. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly warmer due to elevated dew points and minimal wind. Traders will watch the next China Meteorological Administration updates and refined ECMWF/GFS outputs for any shifts in precipitation timing or coverage before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$380Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Zhengzhou overnight lows on August 24 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–85%, and expected showers that limit radiational cooling. These conditions, tied to a low-pressure trough and monsoon influences, produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–25°C while assigning low probability to sub-20°C readings. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly warmer due to elevated dew points and minimal wind. Traders will watch the next China Meteorological Administration updates and refined ECMWF/GFS outputs for any shifts in precipitation timing or coverage before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$380Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Zhengzhou overnight lows on August 24 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–85%, and expected showers that limit radiational cooling. These conditions, tied to a low-pressure trough and monsoon influences, produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–25°C while assigning low probability to sub-20°C readings. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly warmer due to elevated dew points and minimal wind. Traders will watch the next China Meteorological Administration updates and refined ECMWF/GFS outputs for any shifts in precipitation timing or coverage before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions