Current forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 23 project a daily maximum temperature near 33°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions including high solar insolation and southerly flow across the North China Plain. Multiple weather models align on highs of 32–34°C (90–94°F), consistent with climatological averages of 32–33°C for the month and recent observations showing no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this strong consensus among official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in precipitation or rapid advection of cooler air, which current ensemble runs do not support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 23 de agosto?
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
22°C or below
$305 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,280 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,970 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$603 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$696 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 23 project a daily maximum temperature near 33°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions including high solar insolation and southerly flow across the North China Plain. Multiple weather models align on highs of 32–34°C (90–94°F), consistent with climatological averages of 32–33°C for the month and recent observations showing no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this strong consensus among official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in precipitation or rapid advection of cooler air, which current ensemble runs do not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$7,204Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 23 project a daily maximum temperature near 33°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions including high solar insolation and southerly flow across the North China Plain. Multiple weather models align on highs of 32–34°C (90–94°F), consistent with climatological averages of 32–33°C for the month and recent observations showing no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this strong consensus among official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in precipitation or rapid advection of cooler air, which current ensemble runs do not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,204Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 23 project a daily maximum temperature near 33°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions including high solar insolation and southerly flow across the North China Plain. Multiple weather models align on highs of 32–34°C (90–94°F), consistent with climatological averages of 32–33°C for the month and recent observations showing no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this strong consensus among official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in precipitation or rapid advection of cooler air, which current ensemble runs do not support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions