Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather project Zhengzhou highs near or above 32°C on August 18 amid typical late-summer conditions over the North China Plain, where average August maxima reach 31°C with frequent peaks to 33–35°C driven by high solar insolation, southerly flow, and elevated humidity. This supports the 61.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, while the 19.5% for exactly 31°C reflects model spread and potential for modest cooling from cloud cover or scattered showers. Official monitoring emphasizes that exact daily maxima depend on real-time observations, with heat indices often exceeding actual air temperatures by several degrees.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 18 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 18 de agosto?
32°C or higher 62%
31°C 7%
30°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
62%
32°C or higher 62%
31°C 7%
30°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
22°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$116 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$62 Vol.
1%
31°C
$13 Vol.
21%
32°C or higher
$22 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather project Zhengzhou highs near or above 32°C on August 18 amid typical late-summer conditions over the North China Plain, where average August maxima reach 31°C with frequent peaks to 33–35°C driven by high solar insolation, southerly flow, and elevated humidity. This supports the 61.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, while the 19.5% for exactly 31°C reflects model spread and potential for modest cooling from cloud cover or scattered showers. Official monitoring emphasizes that exact daily maxima depend on real-time observations, with heat indices often exceeding actual air temperatures by several degrees.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,082Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather project Zhengzhou highs near or above 32°C on August 18 amid typical late-summer conditions over the North China Plain, where average August maxima reach 31°C with frequent peaks to 33–35°C driven by high solar insolation, southerly flow, and elevated humidity. This supports the 61.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, while the 19.5% for exactly 31°C reflects model spread and potential for modest cooling from cloud cover or scattered showers. Official monitoring emphasizes that exact daily maxima depend on real-time observations, with heat indices often exceeding actual air temperatures by several degrees.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,082Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather project Zhengzhou highs near or above 32°C on August 18 amid typical late-summer conditions over the North China Plain, where average August maxima reach 31°C with frequent peaks to 33–35°C driven by high solar insolation, southerly flow, and elevated humidity. This supports the 61.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, while the 19.5% for exactly 31°C reflects model spread and potential for modest cooling from cloud cover or scattered showers. Official monitoring emphasizes that exact daily maxima depend on real-time observations, with heat indices often exceeding actual air temperatures by several degrees.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions