Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a high of 25–27°C in Warsaw on September 8, driven by building high pressure, southerly flow advecting warmer continental air, and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This setup exceeds early-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, with light winds limiting mixing and minimal precipitation expected to maintain the warmth. Trader emphasis on 27°C (40%) and 28°C (22.5%) reflects these conditions, though model runs can shift with new data releases before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 8 de setembro?
27°C 40%
28°C 24%
26°C 16%
25°C 8%
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
16%
27°C
40%
28°C
24%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 24%
26°C 16%
25°C 8%
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
16%
27°C
40%
28°C
24%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a high of 25–27°C in Warsaw on September 8, driven by building high pressure, southerly flow advecting warmer continental air, and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating. This setup exceeds early-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, with light winds limiting mixing and minimal precipitation expected to maintain the warmth. Trader emphasis on 27°C (40%) and 28°C (22.5%) reflects these conditions, though model runs can shift with new data releases before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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