Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight spread around peak daytime highs of 37–38°C in Warsaw on August 5, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and warm southwest advection that has sustained a Central European heat dome. Clear skies and light winds favor strong daytime heating, yet slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow gap between those two outcomes. Historical August maxima near 35°C provide context, while official Polish meteorological guidance and updated model runs tomorrow will likely resolve the remaining uncertainty before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 5 de agosto?
38°C 32%
37°C 27%
36°C 22%
39°C 8%
NOVO
$22,417 Vol.
NOVO
$22,417 Vol.
5 ago 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
7%
36°C
22%
37°C
27%
38°C
32%
39°C
8%
40°C
4%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 32%
37°C 27%
36°C 22%
39°C 8%
NOVO
$22,417 Vol.
NOVO
$22,417 Vol.
5 ago 2026
31°C or below
$3,848 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,809 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,034 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,664 Vol.
3%
35°C
$1,418 Vol.
7%
36°C
$1,203 Vol.
22%
37°C
$958 Vol.
27%
38°C
$3,662 Vol.
32%
39°C
$2,636 Vol.
8%
40°C
$1,816 Vol.
4%
41°C or higher
$369 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight spread around peak daytime highs of 37–38°C in Warsaw on August 5, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and warm southwest advection that has sustained a Central European heat dome. Clear skies and light winds favor strong daytime heating, yet slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow gap between those two outcomes. Historical August maxima near 35°C provide context, while official Polish meteorological guidance and updated model runs tomorrow will likely resolve the remaining uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$22,417Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight spread around peak daytime highs of 37–38°C in Warsaw on August 5, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and warm southwest advection that has sustained a Central European heat dome. Clear skies and light winds favor strong daytime heating, yet slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow gap between those two outcomes. Historical August maxima near 35°C provide context, while official Polish meteorological guidance and updated model runs tomorrow will likely resolve the remaining uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,417Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight spread around peak daytime highs of 37–38°C in Warsaw on August 5, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and warm southwest advection that has sustained a Central European heat dome. Clear skies and light winds favor strong daytime heating, yet slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow gap between those two outcomes. Historical August maxima near 35°C provide context, while official Polish meteorological guidance and updated model runs tomorrow will likely resolve the remaining uncertainty before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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