**Current NWS and model guidance for New York City on August 4 cluster around an 81–85°F high, driving the tight spread between the 84–85°F (39.5%) and 82–83°F (32.5%) bins.** Partly sunny skies and southwesterly flow support moderate insolation, while a developing sea breeze and urban heat-island effects create the narrow uncertainty band that separates these outcomes. Ensemble runs show limited spread, reflecting stable steering patterns and no strong frontal passage. Historical Central Park averages near 83°F provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud timing and wind shifts keeps probabilities balanced. Updated afternoon model cycles and official observations at LaGuardia or Central Park will determine final resolution within this narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 4 de agosto?
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 38%
80-81°F 14%
30-31°C 9%
NOVO
$21,566 Vol.
NOVO
$21,566 Vol.
4 ago 2026
73°F ou menos
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
38%
30-31°C
9%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F ou mais
<1%
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 38%
80-81°F 14%
30-31°C 9%
NOVO
$21,566 Vol.
NOVO
$21,566 Vol.
4 ago 2026
73°F ou menos
$483 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$508 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$836 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,635 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$3,391 Vol.
14%
82-83°F
$2,158 Vol.
38%
84-85°F
$3,309 Vol.
38%
30-31°C
$2,617 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$2,521 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$1,635 Vol.
<1%
92°F ou mais
$473 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS and model guidance for New York City on August 4 cluster around an 81–85°F high, driving the tight spread between the 84–85°F (39.5%) and 82–83°F (32.5%) bins.** Partly sunny skies and southwesterly flow support moderate insolation, while a developing sea breeze and urban heat-island effects create the narrow uncertainty band that separates these outcomes. Ensemble runs show limited spread, reflecting stable steering patterns and no strong frontal passage. Historical Central Park averages near 83°F provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud timing and wind shifts keeps probabilities balanced. Updated afternoon model cycles and official observations at LaGuardia or Central Park will determine final resolution within this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$21,566Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS and model guidance for New York City on August 4 cluster around an 81–85°F high, driving the tight spread between the 84–85°F (39.5%) and 82–83°F (32.5%) bins.** Partly sunny skies and southwesterly flow support moderate insolation, while a developing sea breeze and urban heat-island effects create the narrow uncertainty band that separates these outcomes. Ensemble runs show limited spread, reflecting stable steering patterns and no strong frontal passage. Historical Central Park averages near 83°F provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud timing and wind shifts keeps probabilities balanced. Updated afternoon model cycles and official observations at LaGuardia or Central Park will determine final resolution within this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,566Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current NWS and model guidance for New York City on August 4 cluster around an 81–85°F high, driving the tight spread between the 84–85°F (39.5%) and 82–83°F (32.5%) bins.** Partly sunny skies and southwesterly flow support moderate insolation, while a developing sea breeze and urban heat-island effects create the narrow uncertainty band that separates these outcomes. Ensemble runs show limited spread, reflecting stable steering patterns and no strong frontal passage. Historical Central Park averages near 83°F provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud timing and wind shifts keeps probabilities balanced. Updated afternoon model cycles and official observations at LaGuardia or Central Park will determine final resolution within this narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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