Trader consensus on the Milan maximum temperature market reflects tight clustering of short-range weather model guidance around 23–24°C for September 18, with 23°C holding a narrow 35.5% implied probability edge. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, tempered by scattered showers that limit boundary-layer warming. Recent observations indicate surface dew points near 16–18°C and modest instability, keeping the distribution centered in the low-to-mid 20s rather than supporting a push toward 25°C or higher. Final model updates overnight will refine whether subtle differences in cloud cover or timing of any precipitation tip the outcome between the two leading bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 18 de setembro?
23°C 36%
24°C 34%
25°C ou mais 18%
22°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
15°C ou menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
14%
23°C
36%
24°C
34%
25°C ou mais
18%
23°C 36%
24°C 34%
25°C ou mais 18%
22°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$45 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$445 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$174 Vol.
1%
20°C
$129 Vol.
2%
21°C
$199 Vol.
5%
22°C
$381 Vol.
14%
23°C
$361 Vol.
36%
24°C
$441 Vol.
34%
25°C ou mais
$854 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Milan maximum temperature market reflects tight clustering of short-range weather model guidance around 23–24°C for September 18, with 23°C holding a narrow 35.5% implied probability edge. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, tempered by scattered showers that limit boundary-layer warming. Recent observations indicate surface dew points near 16–18°C and modest instability, keeping the distribution centered in the low-to-mid 20s rather than supporting a push toward 25°C or higher. Final model updates overnight will refine whether subtle differences in cloud cover or timing of any precipitation tip the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,278Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Milan maximum temperature market reflects tight clustering of short-range weather model guidance around 23–24°C for September 18, with 23°C holding a narrow 35.5% implied probability edge. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, tempered by scattered showers that limit boundary-layer warming. Recent observations indicate surface dew points near 16–18°C and modest instability, keeping the distribution centered in the low-to-mid 20s rather than supporting a push toward 25°C or higher. Final model updates overnight will refine whether subtle differences in cloud cover or timing of any precipitation tip the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,278Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Milan maximum temperature market reflects tight clustering of short-range weather model guidance around 23–24°C for September 18, with 23°C holding a narrow 35.5% implied probability edge. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, tempered by scattered showers that limit boundary-layer warming. Recent observations indicate surface dew points near 16–18°C and modest instability, keeping the distribution centered in the low-to-mid 20s rather than supporting a push toward 25°C or higher. Final model updates overnight will refine whether subtle differences in cloud cover or timing of any precipitation tip the outcome between the two leading bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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