Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend for Toronto on September 18 driven by northerly winds and high pressure building behind a frontal passage, promoting clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling overnight. Projected minimums cluster around 14–16°C, with daytime highs near 20–22°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes at equal implied probabilities because short-range models show sensitivity to exact cloud cover, wind speed, and timing of any residual moisture, which can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. Updated runs from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Toronto no dia 18 de setembro?
8°C ou menos 78%
18°C ou mais 78%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
8°C ou menos
78%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
38%
14°C
24%
15°C
27%
16°C
21%
17°C
39%
18°C ou mais
78%
8°C ou menos 78%
18°C ou mais 78%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
8°C ou menos
78%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
38%
14°C
24%
15°C
27%
16°C
21%
17°C
39%
18°C ou mais
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend for Toronto on September 18 driven by northerly winds and high pressure building behind a frontal passage, promoting clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling overnight. Projected minimums cluster around 14–16°C, with daytime highs near 20–22°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes at equal implied probabilities because short-range models show sensitivity to exact cloud cover, wind speed, and timing of any residual moisture, which can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. Updated runs from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions