Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Mexico City’s high for August 4 near 26–27 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 53.5 % for 27 °C and 28 % for 26 °C. The city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy season produce frequent afternoon cloud cover and convection that cap daytime maxima, while the urban heat-island effect and regional moisture add modest warming. Recent model runs show no heat-wave signals or clear-sky persistence that would push readings to 28 °C or above, keeping those probabilities low at 14 %. Official resolution will rely on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional’s daily maximum at its Mexico City station, with traders weighting the latest guidance on cloud timing and wind.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 4 de agosto?
27°C 54%
26°C 29%
28°C 14%
25°C 3.8%
$12,417 Vol.
$12,417 Vol.
4 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
29%
27°C
54%
28°C
14%
29°C
1%
30°C ou mais
1%
27°C 54%
26°C 29%
28°C 14%
25°C 3.8%
$12,417 Vol.
$12,417 Vol.
4 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
$347 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$543 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$609 Vol.
1%
24°C
$834 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,155 Vol.
4%
26°C
$1,807 Vol.
29%
27°C
$3,319 Vol.
54%
28°C
$1,330 Vol.
14%
29°C
$855 Vol.
1%
30°C ou mais
$193 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Mexico City’s high for August 4 near 26–27 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 53.5 % for 27 °C and 28 % for 26 °C. The city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy season produce frequent afternoon cloud cover and convection that cap daytime maxima, while the urban heat-island effect and regional moisture add modest warming. Recent model runs show no heat-wave signals or clear-sky persistence that would push readings to 28 °C or above, keeping those probabilities low at 14 %. Official resolution will rely on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional’s daily maximum at its Mexico City station, with traders weighting the latest guidance on cloud timing and wind.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$12,417Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Mexico City’s high for August 4 near 26–27 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 53.5 % for 27 °C and 28 % for 26 °C. The city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy season produce frequent afternoon cloud cover and convection that cap daytime maxima, while the urban heat-island effect and regional moisture add modest warming. Recent model runs show no heat-wave signals or clear-sky persistence that would push readings to 28 °C or above, keeping those probabilities low at 14 %. Official resolution will rely on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional’s daily maximum at its Mexico City station, with traders weighting the latest guidance on cloud timing and wind.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,417Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Mexico City’s high for August 4 near 26–27 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 53.5 % for 27 °C and 28 % for 26 °C. The city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy season produce frequent afternoon cloud cover and convection that cap daytime maxima, while the urban heat-island effect and regional moisture add modest warming. Recent model runs show no heat-wave signals or clear-sky persistence that would push readings to 28 °C or above, keeping those probabilities low at 14 %. Official resolution will rely on the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional’s daily maximum at its Mexico City station, with traders weighting the latest guidance on cloud timing and wind.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions