Mexico City's subtropical highland climate at roughly 2,240 meters elevation typically limits mid-August daytime maxima to 24–26°C, as afternoon convective showers and cloud cover from passing tropical waves reduce solar insolation and cap peak heating. Current numerical weather models show broken cloud cover with isolated late-day showers on August 18, producing conditions that favor a daily maximum near 25°C or 26°C and explain the closely matched market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing, wind speed, or humidity can shift the exact high by 1°C, while the low probabilities assigned to 27°C or higher reflect the consistent moderating influence of elevation and seasonal moisture.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 18 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 18 de agosto?
26°C 41%
25°C 33%
27°C 12%
24°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
33%
26°C
41%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 33%
27°C 12%
24°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
$35 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$344 Vol.
1%
23°C
$394 Vol.
3%
24°C
$570 Vol.
7%
25°C
$577 Vol.
33%
26°C
$1,222 Vol.
41%
27°C
$339 Vol.
12%
28°C
$69 Vol.
3%
29°C
$167 Vol.
1%
30°C ou mais
$252 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's subtropical highland climate at roughly 2,240 meters elevation typically limits mid-August daytime maxima to 24–26°C, as afternoon convective showers and cloud cover from passing tropical waves reduce solar insolation and cap peak heating. Current numerical weather models show broken cloud cover with isolated late-day showers on August 18, producing conditions that favor a daily maximum near 25°C or 26°C and explain the closely matched market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing, wind speed, or humidity can shift the exact high by 1°C, while the low probabilities assigned to 27°C or higher reflect the consistent moderating influence of elevation and seasonal moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,095Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's subtropical highland climate at roughly 2,240 meters elevation typically limits mid-August daytime maxima to 24–26°C, as afternoon convective showers and cloud cover from passing tropical waves reduce solar insolation and cap peak heating. Current numerical weather models show broken cloud cover with isolated late-day showers on August 18, producing conditions that favor a daily maximum near 25°C or 26°C and explain the closely matched market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing, wind speed, or humidity can shift the exact high by 1°C, while the low probabilities assigned to 27°C or higher reflect the consistent moderating influence of elevation and seasonal moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,095Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's subtropical highland climate at roughly 2,240 meters elevation typically limits mid-August daytime maxima to 24–26°C, as afternoon convective showers and cloud cover from passing tropical waves reduce solar insolation and cap peak heating. Current numerical weather models show broken cloud cover with isolated late-day showers on August 18, producing conditions that favor a daily maximum near 25°C or 26°C and explain the closely matched market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing, wind speed, or humidity can shift the exact high by 1°C, while the low probabilities assigned to 27°C or higher reflect the consistent moderating influence of elevation and seasonal moisture.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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