The Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election on September 3 features a fragmented field following PC MPP Neil Lumsden’s retirement, with trader odds showing Heino Doessing (Liberal) narrowly ahead of Jeff Beattie (PC) and Monique Taylor (NDP). The race stays tight because of the abbreviated campaign window, overlapping local priorities such as the Ontario Land Tribunal’s mid-August ruling mandating a 1,600-hectare urban boundary expansion, and established name recognition among the three main-party nominees. Recent polling aggregates indicate low-30s support spread across Liberals, PCs, and NDP, while smaller-party candidacies including the Greens and Ontario Party further dilute the vote. Any late-campaign movement on housing policy, healthcare access, or advance-voting turnout could separate the leaders before polls close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da Eleição Parcial Provincial de Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
Vencedor da Eleição Parcial Provincial de Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
Heino Doessing 45%
Jeff Beattie 24%
Monique Taylor 20%
Heather Curnew <1%
$16,178 Vol.
$16,178 Vol.
Heino Doessing
45%
Jeff Beattie
24%
Monique Taylor
20%
Heather Curnew
<1%
Wieslawa Derlatka
<1%
Pascale Marchand
<1%
Heino Doessing 45%
Jeff Beattie 24%
Monique Taylor 20%
Heather Curnew <1%
$16,178 Vol.
$16,178 Vol.
Heino Doessing
45%
Jeff Beattie
24%
Monique Taylor
20%
Heather Curnew
<1%
Wieslawa Derlatka
<1%
Pascale Marchand
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election on September 3 features a fragmented field following PC MPP Neil Lumsden’s retirement, with trader odds showing Heino Doessing (Liberal) narrowly ahead of Jeff Beattie (PC) and Monique Taylor (NDP). The race stays tight because of the abbreviated campaign window, overlapping local priorities such as the Ontario Land Tribunal’s mid-August ruling mandating a 1,600-hectare urban boundary expansion, and established name recognition among the three main-party nominees. Recent polling aggregates indicate low-30s support spread across Liberals, PCs, and NDP, while smaller-party candidacies including the Greens and Ontario Party further dilute the vote. Any late-campaign movement on housing policy, healthcare access, or advance-voting turnout could separate the leaders before polls close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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