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icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Glenorchy

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Glenorchy

icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Glenorchy

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Glenorchy

Sue Hickey 65%

Russell Yaxley 25%

Nathan Volf 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

Sue Hickey 65%

Russell Yaxley 25%

Nathan Volf 10%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Sue Hickey

Sue Hickey

$0 Vol.

65%

icon for Russell Yaxley

Russell Yaxley

$10 Vol.

25%

icon for Nathan Volf

Nathan Volf

$341 Vol.

10%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Sue Hickey holds the strongest position in the Glenorchy mayoral race as the incumbent mayor seeking re-election in the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections. Her February 2026 announcement highlighted ongoing work to stabilize council finances, eliminate debt, and advance infrastructure such as the Glenorchy War Memorial Pool repairs, which align with recent council reports on capital works and caretaker policies. Russell Yaxley, the current deputy mayor, represents the primary named challenger, while Nathan Volf and numerous other entrants appear at lower implied probabilities amid an open field. Nominations open on September 7 and close September 21, leaving limited time for new candidates to build visibility in this compulsory postal ballot contest. Trader consensus reflects Hickey’s established local profile and incumbency edge against a fragmented opposition ahead of the Tasmanian Electoral Commission count.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$351
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Sue Hickey holds the strongest position in the Glenorchy mayoral race as the incumbent mayor seeking re-election in the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections. Her February 2026 announcement highlighted ongoing work to stabilize council finances, eliminate debt, and advance infrastructure such as the Glenorchy War Memorial Pool repairs, which align with recent council reports on capital works and caretaker policies. Russell Yaxley, the current deputy mayor, represents the primary named challenger, while Nathan Volf and numerous other entrants appear at lower implied probabilities amid an open field. Nominations open on September 7 and close September 21, leaving limited time for new candidates to build visibility in this compulsory postal ballot contest. Trader consensus reflects Hickey’s established local profile and incumbency edge against a fragmented opposition ahead of the Tasmanian Electoral Commission count.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Glenorchy as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$351
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Glenorchy" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sue Hickey" at 65%, followed by "Russell Yaxley" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Glenorchy" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Glenorchy," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Glenorchy" is "Sue Hickey" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Russell Yaxley" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Glenorchy" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.