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icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Burnie
Política·Mayoral

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Burnie

icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Burnie
Política·Mayoral

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Burnie

Giovanna Simpson 40%

Teeny Brumby 34%

Chris Lynch 14%

Ken Dorsey 9%

Polymarket
NOVO

Giovanna Simpson 40%

Teeny Brumby 34%

Chris Lynch 14%

Ken Dorsey 9%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Giovanna Simpson

Giovanna Simpson

$467 Vol.

40%

icon for Teeny Brumby

Teeny Brumby

$2,383 Vol.

34%

icon for Chris Lynch

Chris Lynch

$156 Vol.

14%

icon for Ken Dorsey

Ken Dorsey

$536 Vol.

9%

icon for Geoffrey Summers

Geoffrey Summers

$407 Vol.

4%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The tight contest for Burnie mayor reflects the competitive positioning between incumbent Teeny Brumby and deputy mayor Giovanna Simpson ahead of Tasmania's October 27 local elections, with trader consensus assigning Simpson the narrowest edge at 39.5% implied probability and Brumby at 33.5%. Simpson's February 2026 decision to contest the mayoralty rather than pursue state parliament has sharpened the race, drawing on her profile as a long-serving councillor focused on youth, business, and community issues. Brumby's re-election bid highlights her record on waterfront renewal, modest rate management, and major infrastructure investments, though a failed 2025 no-confidence motion underscored internal council divisions. Trailing candidates including Chris Lynch, Ken Dorsey, and Geoffrey Summers remain at single-digit levels, while open nominations until late September sustain uncertainty around additional entrants. Local concerns over housing pressures from industrial growth and asset renewal continue to shape voter assessments in this multi-candidate field.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$3,950
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The tight contest for Burnie mayor reflects the competitive positioning between incumbent Teeny Brumby and deputy mayor Giovanna Simpson ahead of Tasmania's October 27 local elections, with trader consensus assigning Simpson the narrowest edge at 39.5% implied probability and Brumby at 33.5%. Simpson's February 2026 decision to contest the mayoralty rather than pursue state parliament has sharpened the race, drawing on her profile as a long-serving councillor focused on youth, business, and community issues. Brumby's re-election bid highlights her record on waterfront renewal, modest rate management, and major infrastructure investments, though a failed 2025 no-confidence motion underscored internal council divisions. Trailing candidates including Chris Lynch, Ken Dorsey, and Geoffrey Summers remain at single-digit levels, while open nominations until late September sustain uncertainty around additional entrants. Local concerns over housing pressures from industrial growth and asset renewal continue to shape voter assessments in this multi-candidate field.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$3,950
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Burnie" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Giovanna Simpson" at 40%, followed by "Teeny Brumby" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Burnie" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Burnie," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Burnie" is "Giovanna Simpson" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Teeny Brumby" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Burnie" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.