Trump's Truth Social activity has averaged 19 posts per day through mid-2026, producing weekly totals typically in the 130-190 range that align with the market's tightest bins around 140-199. Recent summer declines in platform traffic have coincided with a standard White House schedule of policy meetings and travel to properties like Bedminster, offering few standout catalysts for the August 18-25 window. Traders price the outcome near historical norms because daily volume fluctuates with news flow, legislative activity, and personal routine rather than fixed patterns. A surge in major announcements or controversies could push totals above 200, while an unusually quiet stretch might settle nearer 120-139.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado200+ 30%
180-199 19%
140-159 18%
160-179 13%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
10%
100-119
14%
120-139
12%
140-159
18%
160-179
13%
180-199
19%
200+
30%
200+ 30%
180-199 19%
140-159 18%
160-179 13%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
10%
100-119
14%
120-139
12%
140-159
18%
160-179
13%
180-199
19%
200+
30%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's Truth Social activity has averaged 19 posts per day through mid-2026, producing weekly totals typically in the 130-190 range that align with the market's tightest bins around 140-199. Recent summer declines in platform traffic have coincided with a standard White House schedule of policy meetings and travel to properties like Bedminster, offering few standout catalysts for the August 18-25 window. Traders price the outcome near historical norms because daily volume fluctuates with news flow, legislative activity, and personal routine rather than fixed patterns. A surge in major announcements or controversies could push totals above 200, while an unusually quiet stretch might settle nearer 120-139.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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