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icon for Vencedor da eleição para a Assembleia Nacional da Côte-du-Sud Quebec
Política·Canadá

Vencedor da eleição para a Assembleia Nacional da Côte-du-Sud Quebec

icon for Vencedor da eleição para a Assembleia Nacional da Côte-du-Sud Quebec
Política·Canadá

Vencedor da eleição para a Assembleia Nacional da Côte-du-Sud Quebec

Mathieu Rivest 43%

Nancy St-Pierre 27%

Frédéric Poulin 27%

Valérie Hamel 25%

Polymarket
NOVO

Mathieu Rivest 43%

Nancy St-Pierre 27%

Frédéric Poulin 27%

Valérie Hamel 25%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Mathieu Rivest

Mathieu Rivest

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Nancy St-Pierre

Nancy St-Pierre

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Frédéric Poulin

Frédéric Poulin

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Valérie Hamel

Valérie Hamel

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Côte-du-Sud riding enters the October 5 Quebec general election as a tight three-way contest among the incumbent CAQ’s Mathieu Rivest, PQ nominee Valérie Hamel, PCQ candidate Frédéric Poulin, and PLQ’s Nancy St-Pierre, with recent provincial and riding-level projections placing the top three within a few points amid CAQ erosion since 2022 and gains for PQ and PCQ. The campaign’s early regional focus and fragmented voter preferences across the Bas-Saint-Laurent and Chaudière-Appalaches areas have prevented any contender from consolidating support. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through closely matched probabilities, underscoring how local turnout, leader visits, and late-campaign swings on issues such as health services and agriculture could still shift the outcome before nomination deadlines close on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Côte-du-Sud riding enters the October 5 Quebec general election as a tight three-way contest among the incumbent CAQ’s Mathieu Rivest, PQ nominee Valérie Hamel, PCQ candidate Frédéric Poulin, and PLQ’s Nancy St-Pierre, with recent provincial and riding-level projections placing the top three within a few points amid CAQ erosion since 2022 and gains for PQ and PCQ. The campaign’s early regional focus and fragmented voter preferences across the Bas-Saint-Laurent and Chaudière-Appalaches areas have prevented any contender from consolidating support. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through closely matched probabilities, underscoring how local turnout, leader visits, and late-campaign swings on issues such as health services and agriculture could still shift the outcome before nomination deadlines close on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para a Assembleia Nacional da Côte-du-Sud Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mathieu Rivest" at 43%, followed by "Nancy St-Pierre" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para a Assembleia Nacional da Côte-du-Sud Quebec" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para a Assembleia Nacional da Côte-du-Sud Quebec," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para a Assembleia Nacional da Côte-du-Sud Quebec" is "Mathieu Rivest" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nancy St-Pierre" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para a Assembleia Nacional da Côte-du-Sud Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.