Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round polling due to the state's consistent conservative alignment, including Jair Bolsonaro's 70-point margin there in 2022. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest confirm his 45-58% support against Lula's 25%, with all other candidates in single digits. His July 2026 Liberal Party nomination as the right-wing standard-bearer, backed by family endorsement and regional PL strength, has reinforced trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October vote. Late developments such as shifts in undecided voters or unexpected national events could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited scope for reversal in this northern stronghold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFlavio Bolsonaro 97.8%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Renan Santos <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$16,189 Vol.
$16,189 Vol.
4 out 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
98%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Samara
<1%
Lula
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Zema
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.8%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Renan Santos <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$16,189 Vol.
$16,189 Vol.
4 out 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$9,909 Vol.
98%
Edmilson Costa
$465 Vol.
1%
Renan Santos
$465 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$569 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$455 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$535 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$505 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$514 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$555 Vol.
<1%
Lula
$631 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$525 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$525 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$535 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round polling due to the state's consistent conservative alignment, including Jair Bolsonaro's 70-point margin there in 2022. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest confirm his 45-58% support against Lula's 25%, with all other candidates in single digits. His July 2026 Liberal Party nomination as the right-wing standard-bearer, backed by family endorsement and regional PL strength, has reinforced trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October vote. Late developments such as shifts in undecided voters or unexpected national events could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited scope for reversal in this northern stronghold.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$16,189Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round polling due to the state's consistent conservative alignment, including Jair Bolsonaro's 70-point margin there in 2022. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest confirm his 45-58% support against Lula's 25%, with all other candidates in single digits. His July 2026 Liberal Party nomination as the right-wing standard-bearer, backed by family endorsement and regional PL strength, has reinforced trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October vote. Late developments such as shifts in undecided voters or unexpected national events could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited scope for reversal in this northern stronghold.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$16,189Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Rondônia first-round polling due to the state's consistent conservative alignment, including Jair Bolsonaro's 70-point margin there in 2022. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest confirm his 45-58% support against Lula's 25%, with all other candidates in single digits. His July 2026 Liberal Party nomination as the right-wing standard-bearer, backed by family endorsement and regional PL strength, has reinforced trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October vote. Late developments such as shifts in undecided voters or unexpected national events could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited scope for reversal in this northern stronghold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions