Katie Hobbs holds an 87% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, while Republican nominee Andy Biggs sits at 11%. As the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, Hobbs secured her nomination unopposed in the July 21 primary. Biggs, a U.S. representative, won the Republican primary with roughly 74% of the vote. Recent polling averages show Hobbs leading Biggs by 5–7 points statewide, with Maricopa—the state’s most populous county and home to Phoenix—typically aligning closely with or amplifying the overall margin. The race features joint tickets for the new lieutenant governor position following Proposition 131. Trader consensus reflects Hobbs’s consistent edge in battleground metrics and fundraising advantage heading into the final weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
89%
Andy Biggs (R)
11%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
$726 Vol.
89%
Andy Biggs (R)
$116 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 87% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, while Republican nominee Andy Biggs sits at 11%. As the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, Hobbs secured her nomination unopposed in the July 21 primary. Biggs, a U.S. representative, won the Republican primary with roughly 74% of the vote. Recent polling averages show Hobbs leading Biggs by 5–7 points statewide, with Maricopa—the state’s most populous county and home to Phoenix—typically aligning closely with or amplifying the overall margin. The race features joint tickets for the new lieutenant governor position following Proposition 131. Trader consensus reflects Hobbs’s consistent edge in battleground metrics and fundraising advantage heading into the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Volume
$841Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 87% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, while Republican nominee Andy Biggs sits at 11%. As the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, Hobbs secured her nomination unopposed in the July 21 primary. Biggs, a U.S. representative, won the Republican primary with roughly 74% of the vote. Recent polling averages show Hobbs leading Biggs by 5–7 points statewide, with Maricopa—the state’s most populous county and home to Phoenix—typically aligning closely with or amplifying the overall margin. The race features joint tickets for the new lieutenant governor position following Proposition 131. Trader consensus reflects Hobbs’s consistent edge in battleground metrics and fundraising advantage heading into the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Volume
$841Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Katie Hobbs holds an 87% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, while Republican nominee Andy Biggs sits at 11%. As the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term, Hobbs secured her nomination unopposed in the July 21 primary. Biggs, a U.S. representative, won the Republican primary with roughly 74% of the vote. Recent polling averages show Hobbs leading Biggs by 5–7 points statewide, with Maricopa—the state’s most populous county and home to Phoenix—typically aligning closely with or amplifying the overall margin. The race features joint tickets for the new lieutenant governor position following Proposition 131. Trader consensus reflects Hobbs’s consistent edge in battleground metrics and fundraising advantage heading into the final weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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