Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district has remained under Democratic control since 1994, with the seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters due to its partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Seth Magaziner. The current trader consensus around 94% probability for a Democratic winner reflects this established baseline, limited Republican field strength ahead of the September primaries, and absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the general election outlook. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment for the party, an unexpected primary outcome producing a more competitive challenger, or a significant late development such as a scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa do RI-02
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa do RI-02
$23,777 Vol.
$23,777 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$23,777 Vol.
$23,777 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$16,453 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$7,324 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district has remained under Democratic control since 1994, with the seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters due to its partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Seth Magaziner. The current trader consensus around 94% probability for a Democratic winner reflects this established baseline, limited Republican field strength ahead of the September primaries, and absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the general election outlook. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment for the party, an unexpected primary outcome producing a more competitive challenger, or a significant late development such as a scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$23,777Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district has remained under Democratic control since 1994, with the seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters due to its partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Seth Magaziner. The current trader consensus around 94% probability for a Democratic winner reflects this established baseline, limited Republican field strength ahead of the September primaries, and absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the general election outlook. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment for the party, an unexpected primary outcome producing a more competitive challenger, or a significant late development such as a scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,777Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district has remained under Democratic control since 1994, with the seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters due to its partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Seth Magaziner. The current trader consensus around 94% probability for a Democratic winner reflects this established baseline, limited Republican field strength ahead of the September primaries, and absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the general election outlook. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment for the party, an unexpected primary outcome producing a more competitive challenger, or a significant late development such as a scandal or health issue affecting the Democratic nominee. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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