Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Apple anuncia iPhone dobrável no evento "Surprise and Shine"?
Tecnologia·Apple

Apple anuncia iPhone dobrável no evento "Surprise and Shine"?

icon for Apple anuncia iPhone dobrável no evento "Surprise and Shine"?
Tecnologia·Apple

Apple anuncia iPhone dobrável no evento "Surprise and Shine"?

Sim

96% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

96% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s confirmed “Surprise and Shine” event on September 9, 2026, at Apple Park drives the 95.5% market-implied probability that a foldable iPhone will be announced. Multiple credible reports, including from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman, detail a book-style device expected under the iPhone Ultra name, featuring a roughly 5.3–5.5-inch outer display and 7.6–7.8-inch inner OLED with minimized crease, titanium frame, and side-button Touch ID. Supply-chain progress, iOS 27 multitasking hints, and the absence of a standard iPhone 18 model further align expectations for this debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup under incoming CEO John Ternus. While last-minute program shifts remain theoretically possible, the official invitation and consistent pre-event reporting leave little room for deviation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.

Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.

If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,350
Data de Término
9 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s confirmed “Surprise and Shine” event on September 9, 2026, at Apple Park drives the 95.5% market-implied probability that a foldable iPhone will be announced. Multiple credible reports, including from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman, detail a book-style device expected under the iPhone Ultra name, featuring a roughly 5.3–5.5-inch outer display and 7.6–7.8-inch inner OLED with minimized crease, titanium frame, and side-button Touch ID. Supply-chain progress, iOS 27 multitasking hints, and the absence of a standard iPhone 18 model further align expectations for this debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup under incoming CEO John Ternus. While last-minute program shifts remain theoretically possible, the official invitation and consistent pre-event reporting leave little room for deviation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.

Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.

If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,350
Data de Término
9 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Relacionado

icon for A Apple lançará um iPhone dobrável antes de 2027?

A Apple lançará um iPhone dobrável antes de 2027?

95%
Sim
icon for A Apple vai lançar o iPhone 18 em 2026?

A Apple vai lançar o iPhone 18 em 2026?

99%
Sim
icon for Will John Ternus say "Apple Intelligence" during his Apple Keynote?

Will John Ternus say "Apple Intelligence" during his Apple Keynote?

86%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Apple anuncia iPhone dobrável no evento "Surprise and Shine"?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apple anuncia iPhone dobrável no evento “Surprise and Shine”?" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Apple anuncia iPhone dobrável no evento "Surprise and Shine"?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Apple anuncia iPhone dobrável no evento "Surprise and Shine"?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Apple anuncia iPhone dobrável no evento "Surprise and Shine"?" is "Apple anuncia iPhone dobrável no evento “Surprise and Shine”?" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Apple anuncia iPhone dobrável no evento "Surprise and Shine"?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.