Apple’s established annual hardware cadence, with new iPhone generations historically shipping each September, underpins the 98.6% market-implied odds that at least some iPhone 18 models will reach the market in 2026. Recent credible reporting from MacRumors, Bloomberg, and others confirms Apple intends to unveil iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and its first foldable device in early September 2026, maintaining the premium segment’s typical timeline despite a rumored split-launch strategy that could push base iPhone 18 variants into spring 2027. With the September event window only weeks away and no supply-chain or regulatory signals of disruption, traders see little room for a full-year slip, though minor feature delays or last-minute adjustments remain possible given Apple’s history of iterative refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Apple lançará o iPhone 18 em 2026?
A Apple lançará o iPhone 18 em 2026?
Sim
99% chance
$173,200 Vol.
$173,200 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Sim
99% chance
$173,200 Vol.
$173,200 Vol.
30 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s established annual hardware cadence, with new iPhone generations historically shipping each September, underpins the 98.6% market-implied odds that at least some iPhone 18 models will reach the market in 2026. Recent credible reporting from MacRumors, Bloomberg, and others confirms Apple intends to unveil iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and its first foldable device in early September 2026, maintaining the premium segment’s typical timeline despite a rumored split-launch strategy that could push base iPhone 18 variants into spring 2027. With the September event window only weeks away and no supply-chain or regulatory signals of disruption, traders see little room for a full-year slip, though minor feature delays or last-minute adjustments remain possible given Apple’s history of iterative refinements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volume
$173,200Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s established annual hardware cadence, with new iPhone generations historically shipping each September, underpins the 98.6% market-implied odds that at least some iPhone 18 models will reach the market in 2026. Recent credible reporting from MacRumors, Bloomberg, and others confirms Apple intends to unveil iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and its first foldable device in early September 2026, maintaining the premium segment’s typical timeline despite a rumored split-launch strategy that could push base iPhone 18 variants into spring 2027. With the September event window only weeks away and no supply-chain or regulatory signals of disruption, traders see little room for a full-year slip, though minor feature delays or last-minute adjustments remain possible given Apple’s history of iterative refinements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$173,200Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s established annual hardware cadence, with new iPhone generations historically shipping each September, underpins the 98.6% market-implied odds that at least some iPhone 18 models will reach the market in 2026. Recent credible reporting from MacRumors, Bloomberg, and others confirms Apple intends to unveil iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and its first foldable device in early September 2026, maintaining the premium segment’s typical timeline despite a rumored split-launch strategy that could push base iPhone 18 variants into spring 2027. With the September event window only weeks away and no supply-chain or regulatory signals of disruption, traders see little room for a full-year slip, though minor feature delays or last-minute adjustments remain possible given Apple’s history of iterative refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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