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Crime predictions & odds

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Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7%

$38.7K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

8

Ends in 7 months

What will Trump say this week? (June 2 - 7)

What will Trump say this week? (June 2 - 7)

15%

Kuwait

$16.3K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

2%

June 30

$709K Vol.

$40.9K Liq.

14

Ends in 7 months

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

10%

$36.9K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

65%

$355 Vol.

$118 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

36%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

1%

June 30

$41.8K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

16%

$64.9K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

14

Ends in 7 months

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

3%

$3.1K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

5%

$2.8K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

10%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$119 Liq.

10

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

8%

$20.9K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

16

Ends in 7 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

78%

50

$20.8K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

57%

Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar

$143K Vol.

$370 Liq.

2

Les Wexner charged by June 30?

Les Wexner charged by June 30?

5%

$10.5K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

37%

$157 Vol.

$74 Liq.

1

Ends in 23 days

Will Little Joe escape again?

Will Little Joe escape again?

6%

$1.2K Vol.

$928 Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Banger Gang (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Banger Gang (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs

62%

Donstu Esports

$9 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

17%

$6.5K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

3

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

3%

$3.8K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Crime.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Crime that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 36% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Crime predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.