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Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

icon for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$422,566 Wol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$422,566 Wol.

Polymarket

Donald Brodie

$1,260 Wol.

28%

Ryan Salame

$29,706 Wol.

24%

Matt Gaetz

$3,870 Wol.

21%

Daniel Penny

$447 Wol.

20%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,190 Wol.

17%

Steve Bannon

$7,813 Wol.

16%

Roger Stone

$3,808 Wol.

15%

Stefan Brodie

$2,320 Wol.

14%

Roger Ver

$1,234 Wol.

10%

Joe Exotic

$5,364 Wol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,058 Wol.

9%

Martin Shkreli

$29,723 Wol.

8%

Bob Menendez

$295 Wol.

7%

Julian Assange

$3,062 Wol.

7%

Young Thug

$4,417 Wol.

6%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$22,715 Wol.

6%

Nicolas Maduro

$9,491 Wol.

6%

Himself

$12,576 Wol.

5%

Derek Chauvin

$19,479 Wol.

5%

Edward Snowden

$3,163 Wol.

4%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$128,669 Wol.

4%

Andrew Tate

$236 Wol.

4%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,570 Wol.

4%

Diddy

$26,825 Wol.

4%

Do Kwon

$23,585 Wol.

3%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Wol.

3%

Antoine Massey

$2,289 Wol.

2%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Wol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised broad clemency authority since January 2025, issuing a blanket pardon for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day in office along with targeted commutations for leaders such as Enrique Tarrio and Stewart Rhodes. Subsequent actions through mid-2026 include pardons or commutations for figures tied to 2020 election challenges, former Representative George Santos, Stephen Buyer, and foreign nationals such as Juan Orlando Hernández, often framed as correcting perceived prosecutorial overreach. These grants, exceeding 1,700 individuals by June 2026, reflect priorities around political allies, white-collar cases, and restitution relief. With the 2027 cutoff approaching, additional batches remain possible ahead of scheduled court dates or legislative developments, though volume and specific recipients will depend on ongoing Department of Justice recommendations and White House priorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$422,566
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised broad clemency authority since January 2025, issuing a blanket pardon for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day in office along with targeted commutations for leaders such as Enrique Tarrio and Stewart Rhodes. Subsequent actions through mid-2026 include pardons or commutations for figures tied to 2020 election challenges, former Representative George Santos, Stephen Buyer, and foreign nationals such as Juan Orlando Hernández, often framed as correcting perceived prosecutorial overreach. These grants, exceeding 1,700 individuals by June 2026, reflect priorities around political allies, white-collar cases, and restitution relief. With the 2027 cutoff approaching, additional batches remain possible ahead of scheduled court dates or legislative developments, though volume and specific recipients will depend on ongoing Department of Justice recommendations and White House priorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$422,566
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 28 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Donald Brodie" z 28%, za nim "Ryan Salame" z 24%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 28¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 28% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" wygenerował $422.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 18, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?", przeglądaj 28 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" jest "Donald Brodie" z 28%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 28% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Ryan Salame" z 24%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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