The Senate's unanimous July 2026 passage of a non-binding resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has reinforced trader expectations of no action by the end of the year. The measure, advanced by Senator Jacky Rosen amid consideration of Todd Blanche's attorney general nomination, put both parties on record against relief for Maxwell's sex-trafficking conviction tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Maxwell's legal team continues to pursue executive relief and has referenced her DOJ interview statements, yet the administration has taken no steps toward a grant. With the resolution highlighting institutional resistance and historical patterns of restraint on high-profile clemency in similar cases, traders assign only single-digit implied probability to a pardon occurring before the 2026 deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTak
7% szansa
$745,065 Wol.
$745,065 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
Tak
7% szansa
$745,065 Wol.
$745,065 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Senate's unanimous July 2026 passage of a non-binding resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has reinforced trader expectations of no action by the end of the year. The measure, advanced by Senator Jacky Rosen amid consideration of Todd Blanche's attorney general nomination, put both parties on record against relief for Maxwell's sex-trafficking conviction tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Maxwell's legal team continues to pursue executive relief and has referenced her DOJ interview statements, yet the administration has taken no steps toward a grant. With the resolution highlighting institutional resistance and historical patterns of restraint on high-profile clemency in similar cases, traders assign only single-digit implied probability to a pardon occurring before the 2026 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Wolumen
$745,065Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Senate's unanimous July 2026 passage of a non-binding resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has reinforced trader expectations of no action by the end of the year. The measure, advanced by Senator Jacky Rosen amid consideration of Todd Blanche's attorney general nomination, put both parties on record against relief for Maxwell's sex-trafficking conviction tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Maxwell's legal team continues to pursue executive relief and has referenced her DOJ interview statements, yet the administration has taken no steps toward a grant. With the resolution highlighting institutional resistance and historical patterns of restraint on high-profile clemency in similar cases, traders assign only single-digit implied probability to a pardon occurring before the 2026 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$745,065Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...The Senate's unanimous July 2026 passage of a non-binding resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell has reinforced trader expectations of no action by the end of the year. The measure, advanced by Senator Jacky Rosen amid consideration of Todd Blanche's attorney general nomination, put both parties on record against relief for Maxwell's sex-trafficking conviction tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Maxwell's legal team continues to pursue executive relief and has referenced her DOJ interview statements, yet the administration has taken no steps toward a grant. With the resolution highlighting institutional resistance and historical patterns of restraint on high-profile clemency in similar cases, traders assign only single-digit implied probability to a pardon occurring before the 2026 deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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