Trump's Truth Social activity as president has averaged roughly 18-19 posts per day in 2025-2026, implying weekly totals often fall between 120-140, which helps explain the tight clustering of probabilities across the 140-159, 160-179, and 180-199 ranges. Trader consensus reflects the high week-to-week variability seen in past data, where routine updates mix with occasional late-night barrages or event-driven spikes that can push totals well above or below the mean. Recent platform traffic declines have not altered his posting patterns, while the absence of major scheduled catalysts in the immediate window leaves the outcome sensitive to unfolding news, policy moves, or personal engagement levels. This uncertainty sustains the balanced distribution among leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano200+ 19%
140-159 18%
160-179 16%
180-199 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
4%
100-119
11%
120-139
13%
140-159
18%
160-179
16%
180-199
14%
200+
19%
200+ 19%
140-159 18%
160-179 16%
180-199 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
<20
$1,093 Wol.
<1%
20-39
$122 Wol.
1%
40-59
$122 Wol.
1%
60-79
$80 Wol.
1%
80-99
$100 Wol.
4%
100-119
$363 Wol.
11%
120-139
$103 Wol.
13%
140-159
$97 Wol.
18%
160-179
$126 Wol.
16%
180-199
$176 Wol.
14%
200+
$421 Wol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity as president has averaged roughly 18-19 posts per day in 2025-2026, implying weekly totals often fall between 120-140, which helps explain the tight clustering of probabilities across the 140-159, 160-179, and 180-199 ranges. Trader consensus reflects the high week-to-week variability seen in past data, where routine updates mix with occasional late-night barrages or event-driven spikes that can push totals well above or below the mean. Recent platform traffic declines have not altered his posting patterns, while the absence of major scheduled catalysts in the immediate window leaves the outcome sensitive to unfolding news, policy moves, or personal engagement levels. This uncertainty sustains the balanced distribution among leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,803Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity as president has averaged roughly 18-19 posts per day in 2025-2026, implying weekly totals often fall between 120-140, which helps explain the tight clustering of probabilities across the 140-159, 160-179, and 180-199 ranges. Trader consensus reflects the high week-to-week variability seen in past data, where routine updates mix with occasional late-night barrages or event-driven spikes that can push totals well above or below the mean. Recent platform traffic declines have not altered his posting patterns, while the absence of major scheduled catalysts in the immediate window leaves the outcome sensitive to unfolding news, policy moves, or personal engagement levels. This uncertainty sustains the balanced distribution among leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$2,803Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's Truth Social activity as president has averaged roughly 18-19 posts per day in 2025-2026, implying weekly totals often fall between 120-140, which helps explain the tight clustering of probabilities across the 140-159, 160-179, and 180-199 ranges. Trader consensus reflects the high week-to-week variability seen in past data, where routine updates mix with occasional late-night barrages or event-driven spikes that can push totals well above or below the mean. Recent platform traffic declines have not altered his posting patterns, while the absence of major scheduled catalysts in the immediate window leaves the outcome sensitive to unfolding news, policy moves, or personal engagement levels. This uncertainty sustains the balanced distribution among leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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