Trader sentiment for the August 27 rainfall market is now driven by post-event verification against National Weather Service and NOAA precipitation data rather than forecasts. Official gauge measurements, radar estimates, and quality-controlled totals from that date determine resolution, with any model-observation mismatches potentially shifting final outcomes. Late-August climatology typically features scattered convective showers tied to diurnal heating and weak fronts, yet the actual geographic pattern hinged on that day's specific moisture transport and instability. No additional data releases remain pending as the period has concluded, enabling direct comparison of historical analogs to the measured distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhere will it rain on August 27?
$6,272 Wol.
New York, NY
Yes
Los Angeles, CA
No
Chicago, IL
No
Houston, TX
No
Dallas, TX
No
Phoenix, AZ
No
Philadelphia, PA
Yes
Denver, CO
No
Washington, DC
Yes
Atlanta, GA
Yes
Miami, FL
Yes
Seattle, WA
No
Boston, MA
No
New Orleans, LA
Yes
San Francisco, CA
No
$6,272 Wol.
New York, NY
Yes
Los Angeles, CA
No
Chicago, IL
No
Houston, TX
No
Dallas, TX
No
Phoenix, AZ
No
Philadelphia, PA
Yes
Denver, CO
No
Washington, DC
Yes
Atlanta, GA
Yes
Miami, FL
Yes
Seattle, WA
No
Boston, MA
No
New Orleans, LA
Yes
San Francisco, CA
No
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the most recent CLI report published for the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Zakwestionowany
Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Zakwestionowany
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the most recent CLI report published for the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Zakwestionowany
Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Zakwestionowany
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Trader sentiment for the August 27 rainfall market is now driven by post-event verification against National Weather Service and NOAA precipitation data rather than forecasts. Official gauge measurements, radar estimates, and quality-controlled totals from that date determine resolution, with any model-observation mismatches potentially shifting final outcomes. Late-August climatology typically features scattered convective showers tied to diurnal heating and weak fronts, yet the actual geographic pattern hinged on that day's specific moisture transport and instability. No additional data releases remain pending as the period has concluded, enabling direct comparison of historical analogs to the measured distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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