Recent pre-election polls from institutes including Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap have placed Die Linke between 11% and 13% in Sachsen-Anhalt, with the latest readings from early September clustering near 11.5–12%. This stability, little changed over the preceding weeks amid a campaign dominated by AfD strength and CDU weakness, underpins trader consensus on the 9–12% and 12–15% ranges. The party’s 2021 result of 11% provides a historical base rate, while competition from the BSW and limited momentum for smaller left-leaning options have kept support contained. No major late shifts in voter intention or candidate events have altered the trajectory ahead of today’s vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
9-12% 59%
12-15% 37%
<9% 5.1%
15%+ 2.8%
$43,965 Wol.
$43,965 Wol.
<9%
5%
9-12%
59%
12-15%
37%
15%+
3%
9-12% 59%
12-15% 37%
<9% 5.1%
15%+ 2.8%
$43,965 Wol.
$43,965 Wol.
<9%
5%
9-12%
59%
12-15%
37%
15%+
3%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent pre-election polls from institutes including Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap have placed Die Linke between 11% and 13% in Sachsen-Anhalt, with the latest readings from early September clustering near 11.5–12%. This stability, little changed over the preceding weeks amid a campaign dominated by AfD strength and CDU weakness, underpins trader consensus on the 9–12% and 12–15% ranges. The party’s 2021 result of 11% provides a historical base rate, while competition from the BSW and limited momentum for smaller left-leaning options have kept support contained. No major late shifts in voter intention or candidate events have altered the trajectory ahead of today’s vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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