United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party aligned with President Putin, combined with a tightly controlled political environment that limits genuine competition. All eligible parties have completed candidate registration, with United Russia securing prominent figures on its lists and benefiting from multi-day voting and electronic mechanisms. State-affiliated polls show the party well ahead of systemic opposition groups such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People, consistent with its performance in prior cycles. Traders reflect this structural dominance in the current odds, viewing an upset as highly improbable absent major unforeseen disruptions like significant escalations in the Ukraine conflict or abrupt institutional shifts within the narrow resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJedna Rosja (ER) 99.0%
Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF) <1%
Nowi Ludzie (NL) <1%
Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR) <1%
$3,393,299 Wol.
$3,393,299 Wol.

Jedna Rosja (ER)
99%

Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF)
1%

Nowi Ludzie (NL)
<1%

Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR)
<1%

Yabloko
<1%

Sprawiedliwa Rosja – Za Prawdę (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Platforma Obywatelska (GP)
<1%
Jedna Rosja (ER) 99.0%
Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF) <1%
Nowi Ludzie (NL) <1%
Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR) <1%
$3,393,299 Wol.
$3,393,299 Wol.

Jedna Rosja (ER)
99%

Komunistyczna Partia Federacji Rosyjskiej (KPRF)
1%

Nowi Ludzie (NL)
<1%

Liberalno-Demokratyczna Partia Rosji (LDPR)
<1%

Yabloko
<1%

Sprawiedliwa Rosja – Za Prawdę (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Platforma Obywatelska (GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party aligned with President Putin, combined with a tightly controlled political environment that limits genuine competition. All eligible parties have completed candidate registration, with United Russia securing prominent figures on its lists and benefiting from multi-day voting and electronic mechanisms. State-affiliated polls show the party well ahead of systemic opposition groups such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People, consistent with its performance in prior cycles. Traders reflect this structural dominance in the current odds, viewing an upset as highly improbable absent major unforeseen disruptions like significant escalations in the Ukraine conflict or abrupt institutional shifts within the narrow resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania