Recent polling from state-affiliated institutes shows New People gaining ground while LDPR, KPRF, and A Just Russia trail in the low-to-mid teens, creating a tight contest for fourth place behind United Russia. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko narrowed the field of smaller parties eligible to compete, concentrating attention on the remaining registered lists ahead of the three-day vote from September 18–20. Declining overall candidate registration and procedural barriers have further limited competition, reinforcing the current hierarchy among systemic parties. Traders price New People and LDPR as the closest contenders, with modest shifts in regional turnout or late-campaign consolidation among smaller lists the main variables that could reorder fourth place before results are finalized.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNew People (NL) 49%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 41%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 11%
Rodina 3.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
New People (NL)
49%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
40%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
13%
Rodina
3%
Civic Platform (GP)
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
2%
United Russia (ER)
1%
New People (NL) 49%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 41%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 11%
Rodina 3.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
New People (NL)
$98 Wol.
49%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$125 Wol.
40%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$60 Wol.
13%
Rodina
$83 Wol.
3%
Civic Platform (GP)
$503 Wol.
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$217 Wol.
2%
United Russia (ER)
$187 Wol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated institutes shows New People gaining ground while LDPR, KPRF, and A Just Russia trail in the low-to-mid teens, creating a tight contest for fourth place behind United Russia. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko narrowed the field of smaller parties eligible to compete, concentrating attention on the remaining registered lists ahead of the three-day vote from September 18–20. Declining overall candidate registration and procedural barriers have further limited competition, reinforcing the current hierarchy among systemic parties. Traders price New People and LDPR as the closest contenders, with modest shifts in regional turnout or late-campaign consolidation among smaller lists the main variables that could reorder fourth place before results are finalized.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,272Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated institutes shows New People gaining ground while LDPR, KPRF, and A Just Russia trail in the low-to-mid teens, creating a tight contest for fourth place behind United Russia. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko narrowed the field of smaller parties eligible to compete, concentrating attention on the remaining registered lists ahead of the three-day vote from September 18–20. Declining overall candidate registration and procedural barriers have further limited competition, reinforcing the current hierarchy among systemic parties. Traders price New People and LDPR as the closest contenders, with modest shifts in regional turnout or late-campaign consolidation among smaller lists the main variables that could reorder fourth place before results are finalized.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Wolumen
$1,272Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from state-affiliated institutes shows New People gaining ground while LDPR, KPRF, and A Just Russia trail in the low-to-mid teens, creating a tight contest for fourth place behind United Russia. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko narrowed the field of smaller parties eligible to compete, concentrating attention on the remaining registered lists ahead of the three-day vote from September 18–20. Declining overall candidate registration and procedural barriers have further limited competition, reinforcing the current hierarchy among systemic parties. Traders price New People and LDPR as the closest contenders, with modest shifts in regional turnout or late-campaign consolidation among smaller lists the main variables that could reorder fourth place before results are finalized.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
51%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
88%
Czy Jedna Rosja (ER) zdobędzie najwięcej mandatów w następnych wyborach parlamentarnych w Rosji?
99%
Tak
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