Close polling between the National-led coalition and Labour opposition has sustained interest ahead of the November 7, 2026 general election, supporting turnout expectations near historical levels around 78-80 percent. Youth enrolment has fallen sharply to 53 percent by mid-2026, the lowest in 15 years, while the dormant roll stands 25 percent below 2023 figures, signalling reduced participation among lower-propensity groups. Enrolment closes October 25 with advance voting beginning shortly after, factors that traders weigh against the competitive contest when pricing the 76-82 percent range as the dominant outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNew Zealand Election: Turnout
New Zealand Election: Turnout
78-80% 37%
76-78% 25%
80-82% 21.9%
<76% 5.0%
$19,916 Wol.
$19,916 Wol.
Nov 6, 2026
<76%
5%
76-78%
25%
78-80%
37%
80-82%
22%
82-84%
1%
84%+
4%
78-80% 37%
76-78% 25%
80-82% 21.9%
<76% 5.0%
$19,916 Wol.
$19,916 Wol.
Nov 6, 2026
<76%
$1,049 Wol.
5%
76-78%
$4,174 Wol.
25%
78-80%
$7,223 Wol.
37%
80-82%
$5,375 Wol.
22%
82-84%
$1,288 Wol.
1%
84%+
$807 Wol.
4%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Close polling between the National-led coalition and Labour opposition has sustained interest ahead of the November 7, 2026 general election, supporting turnout expectations near historical levels around 78-80 percent. Youth enrolment has fallen sharply to 53 percent by mid-2026, the lowest in 15 years, while the dormant roll stands 25 percent below 2023 figures, signalling reduced participation among lower-propensity groups. Enrolment closes October 25 with advance voting beginning shortly after, factors that traders weigh against the competitive contest when pricing the 76-82 percent range as the dominant outcomes.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,916Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Close polling between the National-led coalition and Labour opposition has sustained interest ahead of the November 7, 2026 general election, supporting turnout expectations near historical levels around 78-80 percent. Youth enrolment has fallen sharply to 53 percent by mid-2026, the lowest in 15 years, while the dormant roll stands 25 percent below 2023 figures, signalling reduced participation among lower-propensity groups. Enrolment closes October 25 with advance voting beginning shortly after, factors that traders weigh against the competitive contest when pricing the 76-82 percent range as the dominant outcomes.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Wolumen
$19,916Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close polling between the National-led coalition and Labour opposition has sustained interest ahead of the November 7, 2026 general election, supporting turnout expectations near historical levels around 78-80 percent. Youth enrolment has fallen sharply to 53 percent by mid-2026, the lowest in 15 years, while the dormant roll stands 25 percent below 2023 figures, signalling reduced participation among lower-propensity groups. Enrolment closes October 25 with advance voting beginning shortly after, factors that traders weigh against the competitive contest when pricing the 76-82 percent range as the dominant outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
37%
Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
30%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
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