Recent polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show National and Labour locked near 30% each in party vote averages, leaving NZ First, the Greens, ACT, and the surging Opportunity Party clustered in single digits. Latest surveys indicate NZ First slipping several points amid Christopher Luxon’s leadership tensions while the Greens hold steadier around 10–12%, keeping both parties positioned to finish third depending on final turnout and threshold dynamics. Opportunity’s rise above 5% in multiple August readings adds volatility by drawing from smaller parties and potentially altering seat allocations under MMP rules. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,272 Wol.
$13,272 Wol.
Nov 7, 2026
New Zealand First Party
53%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,272 Wol.
$13,272 Wol.
Nov 7, 2026
New Zealand First Party
$4,956 Wol.
53%
Green Party
$5,360 Wol.
37%
ACT New Zealand
$702 Wol.
2%
National Party
$415 Wol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 Wol.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 Wol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show National and Labour locked near 30% each in party vote averages, leaving NZ First, the Greens, ACT, and the surging Opportunity Party clustered in single digits. Latest surveys indicate NZ First slipping several points amid Christopher Luxon’s leadership tensions while the Greens hold steadier around 10–12%, keeping both parties positioned to finish third depending on final turnout and threshold dynamics. Opportunity’s rise above 5% in multiple August readings adds volatility by drawing from smaller parties and potentially altering seat allocations under MMP rules. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final months.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,272Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show National and Labour locked near 30% each in party vote averages, leaving NZ First, the Greens, ACT, and the surging Opportunity Party clustered in single digits. Latest surveys indicate NZ First slipping several points amid Christopher Luxon’s leadership tensions while the Greens hold steadier around 10–12%, keeping both parties positioned to finish third depending on final turnout and threshold dynamics. Opportunity’s rise above 5% in multiple August readings adds volatility by drawing from smaller parties and potentially altering seat allocations under MMP rules. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final months.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Wolumen
$13,272Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show National and Labour locked near 30% each in party vote averages, leaving NZ First, the Greens, ACT, and the surging Opportunity Party clustered in single digits. Latest surveys indicate NZ First slipping several points amid Christopher Luxon’s leadership tensions while the Greens hold steadier around 10–12%, keeping both parties positioned to finish third depending on final turnout and threshold dynamics. Opportunity’s rise above 5% in multiple August readings adds volatility by drawing from smaller parties and potentially altering seat allocations under MMP rules. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins and the absence of decisive momentum shifts in the final months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
38%
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania