**AfD leads recent polling averages at 35-37% ahead of the September 20 election, positioning it to become the strongest party in the Landtag for the first time and driving the high implied probability in this market.** The incumbent SPD under Minister President Manuela Schwesig trails at 28-32% after gaining ground in late-August surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa, narrowing the gap to as little as three points in one poll but remaining well behind. The Left, CDU, Greens, BSW, and smaller parties register in single digits or lower, with limited prospects of altering the top-two dynamic. Traders appear to view the AfD’s sustained lead and the two-week timeline as decisive, despite the SPD’s modest momentum and the fragmented opposition that complicates coalition scenarios for any winner.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 81%
SPD 20%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$720,057 Wol.
$720,057 Wol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
81%
SPD
20%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 81%
SPD 20%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$720,057 Wol.
$720,057 Wol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
$198,901 Wol.
81%
SPD
$162,219 Wol.
20%
Linke
$27,668 Wol.
<1%
FW
$115,965 Wol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Wol.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 Wol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Wol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**AfD leads recent polling averages at 35-37% ahead of the September 20 election, positioning it to become the strongest party in the Landtag for the first time and driving the high implied probability in this market.** The incumbent SPD under Minister President Manuela Schwesig trails at 28-32% after gaining ground in late-August surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa, narrowing the gap to as little as three points in one poll but remaining well behind. The Left, CDU, Greens, BSW, and smaller parties register in single digits or lower, with limited prospects of altering the top-two dynamic. Traders appear to view the AfD’s sustained lead and the two-week timeline as decisive, despite the SPD’s modest momentum and the fragmented opposition that complicates coalition scenarios for any winner.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Rynek otwarty: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$720,057Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**AfD leads recent polling averages at 35-37% ahead of the September 20 election, positioning it to become the strongest party in the Landtag for the first time and driving the high implied probability in this market.** The incumbent SPD under Minister President Manuela Schwesig trails at 28-32% after gaining ground in late-August surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa, narrowing the gap to as little as three points in one poll but remaining well behind. The Left, CDU, Greens, BSW, and smaller parties register in single digits or lower, with limited prospects of altering the top-two dynamic. Traders appear to view the AfD’s sustained lead and the two-week timeline as decisive, despite the SPD’s modest momentum and the fragmented opposition that complicates coalition scenarios for any winner.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Wolumen
$720,057Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...**AfD leads recent polling averages at 35-37% ahead of the September 20 election, positioning it to become the strongest party in the Landtag for the first time and driving the high implied probability in this market.** The incumbent SPD under Minister President Manuela Schwesig trails at 28-32% after gaining ground in late-August surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa, narrowing the gap to as little as three points in one poll but remaining well behind. The Left, CDU, Greens, BSW, and smaller parties register in single digits or lower, with limited prospects of altering the top-two dynamic. Traders appear to view the AfD’s sustained lead and the two-week timeline as decisive, despite the SPD’s modest momentum and the fragmented opposition that complicates coalition scenarios for any winner.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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