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icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Polityka·Burmistrz

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Polityka·Burmistrz

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

Harvey Lennon 17%

Bill Harvey 17%

Ryan Posselt 15%

John Kelly 13%

Polymarket
NOWE

Harvey Lennon 17%

Bill Harvey 17%

Ryan Posselt 15%

John Kelly 13%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Harvey Lennon

Harvey Lennon

$20 Wol.

17%

icon for Bill Harvey

Bill Harvey

$20 Wol.

17%

icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$43 Wol.

15%

icon for John Kelly

John Kelly

$70 Wol.

23%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$20 Wol.

13%

icon for Mike Dutta

Mike Dutta

$20 Wol.

12%

icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$40 Wol.

11%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open race for Hobart Lord Mayor, following incumbent Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election, has produced a crowded field of independents ahead of the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections. John Kelly's recent candidacy announcement, alongside confirmed runs by sitting councillors including Ryan Posselt, Bill Harvey, Louise Bloomfield, Marti Zucco, and Mike Dutta plus outsider Harvey Lennon, has kept trader consensus tightly balanced near even odds. Nominations open shortly on September 7, with no dominant frontrunner or major polling shifts yet evident to separate contenders. Key factors such as council dynamics, policy priorities on transport and governance, and voter preferences in a preferential voting system could shift probabilities as campaigns intensify in the coming weeks.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Wolumen
$233
Data zakończenia
Oct 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open race for Hobart Lord Mayor, following incumbent Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election, has produced a crowded field of independents ahead of the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections. John Kelly's recent candidacy announcement, alongside confirmed runs by sitting councillors including Ryan Posselt, Bill Harvey, Louise Bloomfield, Marti Zucco, and Mike Dutta plus outsider Harvey Lennon, has kept trader consensus tightly balanced near even odds. Nominations open shortly on September 7, with no dominant frontrunner or major polling shifts yet evident to separate contenders. Key factors such as council dynamics, policy priorities on transport and governance, and voter preferences in a preferential voting system could shift probabilities as campaigns intensify in the coming weeks.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Wolumen
$233
Data zakończenia
Oct 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "John Kelly" z 23%, za nim "Harvey Lennon" z 17%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 23¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 23% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Sep 3, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" jest "John Kelly" z 23%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 23% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Harvey Lennon" z 17%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.